LVLion77

Quick 1/4” of rain from this line of showers and tstorms. Already sunny again! .

I ended up with 3/4“ rain. That was a torrential rain and then fizzled hasn’t moved east of my location. .

Pretty good rain in these thunderstorms up here in the Lehigh Valley. .

Just imagine if it was all snow. [emoji3] .

Pretty intense shower moving through with gusty winds and heavy rain. The sun was just a figment of my imagination! .

We were so dry during the fall and winter with a huge deficit that the ground has been absorbing all of this rain during the spring without any creek flooding until today as you said. It’s been like a sponge. Happy the groundwater is certainly recharged now heading into the summer. I’m happy for the farmers in the Valley as well. Thankfully, it’s going to be in the 80s next week and sunny for a few days next week. .

1.73” for the event and 8.33” for the month, not as insane as a number of you for the monthly total, but still insane! Mid 50s with wrap around rain this morning on the backside of the low is just odd. This is the strangest May I can ever remember. .

49.9F and about an inch of rain for the event (regional precip total map a lot more uniform for this event than just about any other event this spring!)A lot less rain over the next 7 days but still lots of clouds unfortunately. We need a week of dry sunny warmth. .

This sure beats 20,000 years ago when the continental ice sheet reached the Poconos and what is now NYC! SE PA was tundra. .

I was so curious while at work what my weather station would register for that storm (I have an older model, not connected to the Internet, only wireless to the base station.) Just got home and 1.72”. It’s certainly not normal to be at 5” rain mid month! Hope the line to the west disintegrates before it gets here as we really cannot absorb anymore water. .

58f with steady rain this am and up to 1.17” for the event. We did have some heavier rain for a bit. It looks like we’re in this wet pattern for a while with only brief breaks over the next week. .

0.43” rain throughout the day, despite an unimpressive radar representation for the most part. The trees and vegetation are doing very well this month, but we still have a longer term precipitation deficit in these parts. Thankfully we are chipping away with that. .

It is a strange spring with such variability of precip totals over short distances. You are either in it or not this spring. .

1.70”. Finally got an overperformer here. .

1.31” overnight thus far, which beats my 1.00” all last weekend. Mighty cool at only 53.6F this am. .

59f - Moderate rain -0.16” so far. It will be interesting to see how the precipitation continues to develop along this frontal boundary. .

Well said, and I largely agree with everything you’re saying. The forecast have been increasingly inaccurate over time. Like you said, it is a very broad type of forecast. And we are in this specific area of the valley in a very interesting micro climate. Overall, we get a boatload of rain on a yearly basis. We are either getting flooded out, or we go into dry spells as we have recently. Today, even small components of the forecast were very inaccurate. We kept the stable east wind flow right up until about 3 PM, which continued to work it’s magic to keep us very dry. I just finished work and I’m coming home soon, but I’ve been following the radar as much as I could this afternoon and I’m not sure we got more than a 10th of an inch at home. .

Well, Sunday and Monday were highly inaccurate forecasts with 0.08” yesterday and a 0.00 today. Still convinced the east wind has stabilized the atmosphere to the point that heavy showers and tstorms are unable to form in this quadrant of this system. We go to a more southerly flow on Tuesday, which should be more conducive to heavier rain.

I agree that topography has a big role as well here as you described, and that influence is year-round. The Atlantic stabilizing influence is likely only prevalent here in the spring when the ocean temp is generally in the 40s and 50s am low pressure is sitting to our west. I don’t think the computer models grasp that very well. In the fall and winter it is the opposite situation in that easterly flow is conducive to more precipitation, considering that the ocean is a lot warmer than the land at that point. .

Just an observation. Each time the precip forecast missed badly this spring, like today, we had an easterly wind here in the LV. I am no meteorologist and I could be very wrong, but this time of the year that east wind equals a cool stable flow off the Atlantic. Perhaps that is the factor that blows up a number of these forecast? Upstate NY seems to have gotten our forecasted heavy rains today. We are forecasted to have east winds Monday as well. .

Surprised to see the sun this evening. 0.08” during the day from sprinkles and light showers. Precip forecasts for tomorrow and Tuesday are significantly reduced now. I wonder if the accuracy of forecasts will increase with advanced AI.

Yep, today thus far has been a total flop - 0.03” since midnight with drizzle currently and a nowcast radar that shows much of the same the rest of the day. Again the best action is to the west… several hundred miles west. Perhaps tomorrow will be our day? .

Looks like the activity is coming to an end for sw Lehigh County this evening - 0.60” today and 0.73” for the weekend thus far. Wish I had a little bit more rain tonight but really happy with the lightning show. There are definitely more opportunities coming in the next couple days.

Unfortunately, it looks like a lot of the action has stayed to the north and west today. I thought the sunshine would be stabilize us enough to see some action popping. There may be something looking to form in Maryland at this point, so we shall see.

I am just a few miles away from you and missed that first thundershower by literally 1/4 of a mile. I got a subsequent brief heavy shower a bit later for a quick but paltry 0.13”. Should be lots of opportunities to see good rain totals this weekend.