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LVLion77

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Everything posted by LVLion77

  1. LVLion77
    No accumulation in my backyard in Macungie, but in truth it really never got going. 1.01 inch of liquid precipitation since last night though.
  2. LVLion77
    0.49” in that round. Hope to get more tonight. I am mentally converted to full spring weather with showers and thunderstorms, but unfortunately winter is making a comeback.
  3. LVLion77
    Heavy rain and rumbles of thunder. Pretty neat for March.
  4. LVLion77
    Think I will be scraped by the line but no direct hit. .
  5. LVLion77
    The million dollar question is if that line of showers in central PA makes it here. [emoji3]
  6. LVLion77
    Nice soaking heavy rain this evening. Happy to see all the salt and snow wash away. Ready for spring and gardening. Wish I could report on a precipitation total, but my station is a little wonky tonight. Guessing I’m between a half to 3/4 of an inch of rain today.
  7. LVLion77
    That has to be some sort of record! I think we all know the late season sun angles are brutal on snowpack, but I feel like they’re more brutal this year! If we could all choose a date to have a major winter storm, it would probably be December 21. [emoji3]
  8. LVLion77
    It is so rare and fascinating to see something like this happen without orographic lift, lake effect, etc.
  9. LVLion77
    Wow! There must be widespread roof collapse issues up there. It is winding down but that will end up being around 40” of wet snow. Unbelievable.
  10. LVLion77
    It’s still snowing in Providence!! 33” thus far. Damn New Englanders have too much of the winter fun.
  11. LVLion77
    The late February sun is brutal. It will all be gone by late tomorrow.
  12. LVLion77
    Weird question, but I would consider area to be the criteria for sure.
  13. LVLion77
    They did, but they got more right than wrong versus NWS.
  14. LVLion77
    And furthermore, I think AccuWeather handled the storm much better than NWS. And don’t get me wrong, I’ve seen it go the other way plenty of times as well. NWS stubbornly held onto bad predictions in a huge swath of this region when we amateurs could see it was never going to verify. Earlier in the event, you could see where the banding was setting up. I believe it was the 11 PM update last night that NWS posted an additional 4 to 12 inches for the Lehigh Valley, which was just pure bullheaded stubbornness.
  15. LVLion77
    Thank you. Yes, if you look at the geographical territory of the NWS office and compare versus the final forecast map you posted, a relatively small percentage of the area verified. I still believe at least 75% of the forecast area was significantly lower than predictions. Sometimes on forums like this, the what happened in my backyard mantra, clouds people’s assessment of forecast accuracy, both under and over.
  16. LVLion77
    I’m not salty at all. It was an added bonus on an above average year. But factual reality is that likely 3/4 of their geographical area under performed their forecast to a very significant degree.
  17. LVLion77
    I would agree with the difficult nature of predicting these storms, but I highly disagree with that assessment that they predicted this well. A very high percentage of Mount Holly‘s forecast geographical area greatly underperformed their Sunday forecast. .
  18. LVLion77
    It was modeled well in terms of there being a major coastal storm and significant accumulations, but I think huge chunks of Mount Holly‘s territory underperformed, in some cases rather dramatically. The jersey shore, northern DE, and much of Mount Holly‘s area in PA dramatically underperformed their predictions. .
  19. LVLion77
    AC is a bit lower than I would have predicted. Perhaps PA, NJ, DE actually underperformed overall vs a number of the catastrophic level forecasts? I cannot see wrap around Snow giving much more meaningful accumulation in the region. New England does seem to be getting hammered. I’ll be interested to see the final totals up there.
  20. LVLion77
    I have measured on average 5” in multiple spots, unless wind or compaction slightly skewed my numbers. For the major services, Accuweather and TWC nailed the LV. NWS bombed the forecast here, even through later updates when it was certain the heavier banding was not making it here. There were always gonna be winners and losers with this one. Happy for the folks to the south and east who did really well!
  21. LVLion77
    I wonder if we can do better when the bands pivot from the northeast. The flow from the southeast is weakening a bit for us over the last 30-45 minutes.
  22. LVLion77
    The NWS update for the Lehigh Valley is rather interesting - an additional 4”-12”. Don’t recall ever seeing that specific spread ever before.
  23. LVLion77
    Amazing! .
  24. LVLion77
    Clear spot, certain it was accurate. .
  25. LVLion77
    I am around 2.75” and have seen better intensity and ratios with decreasing temp. Becoming optimistic now.
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