radarman

1 minute ago, radarman said:

Maybe I missed something but not sure I've seen an AI coup

I've seen a lot of AI fails however

1 minute ago, 8611Blizz said:

If this ends more towards the AI than the OP, particularly considering the fact that this is Thursday and the snow starts on Sunday night, they should retire the OP.

Maybe I missed something but not sure I've seen an AI coup

Precursor advy event for the interior still there as well

1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

January rain might be my least favorite weather phenomena. 

It did the coup de grace on the ice in my driveway so I was grateful for that.  Only about 25% snow coverage left but looks to be back by Saturday night. 

2-4" for this area east ORH even before whatever comes up the coast.

Nice arrival time for the coastal too, right around or before kickoff.

28 minutes ago, dendrite said:

We’re trying to get @radarmanpond hockey tournaments into May

I've refrained from chiming in lately but the fact is you have to play the hand you're dealt.  If we had super snowy and warm we'd be skiing.  If we had early Jan 2007 we'd be out taking walks.  Of those who complain most bitterly I'm not sure they've ever posted evidence of going outside in the winter in any conditions.  The south beckons.

Snowy up there in NNE

Moderate snow, half inch so far

Ice fishermen reporting 8-12" depths in general.  Probably more in the cold spots.  I'd have to think the ponds even in eastern MA would be plenty safe, but who knows these days.  It's like night and day, in temps and mindset.

3 hours ago, Angus said:

Everyone loves a good snow storm but the ice skating on the local ponds is outstanding right now even with the small layer of snow. I would love a good base of snow for xc skiing locally but give me good consistent cold for ice. 

Yeah, it's been amazing.  I'd say the best skating since 09/10.  We've had good days since then, but not so early and so consistently.  Pickup pond hockey is happening all over the valley like we were transported back in time 50 years.

Incredible winter morning out there

Top 5er

5" of blower fluff

6 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

Mid-level circulation still quite intact just W of ALB now.  Parts of MA may get a "wild turkey surprise" from this.  Things could get weird w/ this thing interacting w/ OES later.

Yeah you can see backfilling over the northern part of the Catskills.  They've already done well and should keep stacking up. 

Flakes have begun here after a pretty solid period of virga

I got like 2.5" on Boxing Day in Noho.  Went to a funeral the next morning and in spots was bare ground due to winds.

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You should easily grab 10 there 

10% ABV cans down there today?  

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

There will be a sharp cutoff where 20 miles could be the difference between 6” fluff and 1”-2” arctic sand grains. 

West of the spine IMO

I'm thinking a glorified snow squall NOP, with ----sn before and after a 60-90 minute slug

19/-5

Snowflakes will be falling like dandruff

Dandruff will be falling like snowflakes

Agree about the dry air... what might sometimes be small flakes in a subsidence zone w/ a heavy band to the west will just sublimate entirely.  Brief heavy burst should yield an inch or two.

Catamount should be skiing well on Saturday.  It's been pretty rare for the Taconics to maybe jack a snowstorm in recent years.  Possibly an early season event like 3-4 years ago that rained on most of us.  

We caught about an inch at the last 

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

The medium range guidance for post-Christmas is some of the worst I’ve seen in a while. I mean, some of these runs were giving us pretty damned mild weather for several days in a row just a few cycles ago and it’s completely flipped. They weren’t able to handle the blocking in the Atlantic with much skill. 

Agree.  And we do understand that blocking has been a thorn in their side forever, but the euro completely spit the bit on the 12/2 storm.  The GFS did pretty badly on the 12/14 system.  They all basically failed inside day 3 for today.  And then you have what you mentioned above.

They frickin nailed 12/19 though, that's for sure

Models have been atrocious this month

Seriously

Temps in the valley generally 35 or 36.  Would be snow with any rates but there's no rates.  

Out here I'm kind of thinking a March like system on Tuesday.  Cold column but warmish BL.  Elevation gradient locally.  Upside down with paste esp in the valley bottoms all stuck to trees by the end.  Inflow of moisture channeling up the valley, favoring hills EOR.  Low end advy event above 400' or so.  CMC like but not exactly.  We shall see.