Not a very encouraging set of model runs overnight. Given the tendency of the models to overemphasize blocking and cold anomalies in the medium to LR, anyone in the SE to the east of the Apps should be a bit nervous here. Hopefully, we'll see a couple of upcoming cycles that show the robust cold push coming back and intensified blocking in the NAO region. Otherwise, this will be a marginal event for the northern/NW areas...at best.