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Cold Rain

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Everything posted by Cold Rain

  1. Well, that's the ballgame. Enjoy your snow VA and western Piedmont! Take plenty of pix for us!
  2. When will we start to see some posts about the NAM warm bias and not handling the thermals well because it's a horrible model?
  3. Yep, definitely shook. Just wait till the ice cold GFS comes in warmer.
  4. Been prepared. Just wondering what took it so long to start.
  5. Yep, 850 line going to be farther NW, no doubt. How can the models not analyze these things correctly once they're over land?
  6. Every run of the NAM brings the R/S line closer.
  7. Thanks. I'm right on the line on that one. No thanks.
  8. How can we tell where the R/S line is on that thing?
  9. Yeah, it's definitely gonna come in warmer with all kinds of warm noses, too amped, and dry slots.
  10. Oh, and you just know that Gulf convection is going to play a negative role here. It will. In the meantime, it's imperative that the Euro hold serve tonight. That is a must have.
  11. That's about my expectation. 2-4. Almost warning criteria.
  12. Only 46 hrs to go. What could possibly go wrong? By the way, QPF is always overdone, temps the day of are always higher, and cold air is always late funneling in.
  13. Start it back. That thread is dead. We gotta light it back up. Let's start on Monday.
  14. Yeah if it moves in fast enough, I'd expect some rain to start. Hopefully, we get enough robust lift for several hours after the BL cools and we pile up some snow for a change.
  15. Widre is the board pessimist when it comes to snow. New people and Brick don't like that, but he's right to be that way more than he's wrong. In this case, as long as this thing doesn't get in here too early and get too amped, I'm not worried about temps. It's a very cold air mass coming in. Snow is cold and will have no problem piling up with good rates.
  16. It's hilarious how offended Brick gets when anyone brings up possible temp issues or precip issues or track issues.
  17. Chapel Hill is usually a good place to be for events like this. I wouldn't want to live there for other reasons, though. Haha
  18. The NW trend always happens. Without fail. Don't let your guard down! And keep an eye on that high to the north. Don't let it out of site; it will sneak away if you let it.
  19. Cross post a bunch of stuff about can't trust the models, hating cold and dry, t-ball, you know, the usual stuff.
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