Today was the turning point for me, it felt so nice outside. Yeah, we have a few months of dreary weather ahead before heat & humidity lock in. But I’m done with the cold. Looking forward to the week ahead
I've been hearing birds chirping around sunrise for a few weeks now. It would be nice to just slide into spring, but we're never that lucky. No, I'm not predicting snow. Just two months of raw, windy, rainy days before we turn on the AC in mid May.
That would have been Feb '89, I believe. I recall another bust, Jan '85 maybe? Went to bed under a Winter Storm Warning and woke up to filtered sun...such a crushing feeling!
Adding to Paul, the 1980's still featured big time arctic outbreaks. Only one KU in 1983, but plenty of our 3-5, 4-6 inch bread & butter storms with clippers thrown in. After 1987, we began our string of ratters into the early 90's.
The models suck, I get that. But what if this was 25 years ago? Maybe they'd still be showing a MECS today and we'd be buckled up doing a weenie dance not realizing a huge rug pull was on the way. Seems things really started going down hill 12z Saturday...5+ days out. Maybe that's the "improvement". idk
Just spit balling cause I'm bored and there's nothing to track.
The problem isn't that models go out past 120 hours. It's that weenies keep taking them literally at that range.
We'll never improve modeling if we stop running them at longer leads and learn how to correct them for more accurate outcomes. If weenies keep getting excited about 240 hour MECS, that's on them.