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JTA66

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Everything posted by JTA66

  1. Went to get the trach cans a little earlier and it smelled like snow. Meanwhile... 12Z guidance looking good so far (excepted that wacked out NAM).
  2. 12Z NAM has some snow showers tomorrow evening. We interested?
  3. Better get my Commodore 64 over to Radio Shack and have it fixed so I can start tracking.
  4. The offence looked a bit rusty but I guess that's to be expected since Hurts hasn't played in nearly a month. They did enough to win but need to step it up next week regardless of the opponent.
  5. Unfortunately we don’t shovel potential. But yes, overall I’m relatively optimistic we’ll be tracking again soon.
  6. This can’t be good for our salt shortage… https://6abc.com/post/cargo-ship-algoma-verity-runs-aground-delaware-river-philadelphia/15780571/
  7. That would outperform Monday's event imby. Unfortunately it's the NAM at range.
  8. Are we buying what the 12z NAM is selling?? Edit: Still only an inch or so, but I punted this a few days ago.
  9. I don't know if it's a good match analog wise, but this winter is starting to remind me of 2003-04. We had the cold that year, just no significant storms. Lots of nickle & dime events that kept the ground white for long stretches. I'm starting to think if we do get something (and others have already speculated on this), it's something that will pop up at a short lead time, say inside 84hrs. I dunno, just trying to be patient.
  10. I came into this winter expecting a ratter, so I'm happy with any snow we get. I remember January 2003 being very cold and dry -- maybe a clipper or two, but I remember driving to work each morning seeing the bare ground and thinking we're wasting all this cold. Then Feb hit. Yeah I know, 2002-03 was a Nino winter. But as others have said, I think we can nickel & dime our way to average this year. Patience!
  11. This! People forget the "H" in HECS stands for "historic". There's a reason those storms are labeled historic...because they don't happen very often!!
  12. Yes, the radar is really blossoming. Most models had any late day precipitation south. Could be a little surprise ending this event.
  13. EPS with a low in the lakes...seems about right.
  14. Maybe an inch here, can still see the tops of the grass blades. Went with 2", my forecast was only off by 50%
  15. A couple of Agnes's "dramatic" flakes starting to mix in
  16. Just got back from a Jebwalk, some of the heaviest rates of the day so far. About .50", 25F/DP 22F.
  17. Light stuff coming down with a dusting on all surfaces, 24F/DP 19F.
  18. They’ll be up to 17 pages by tomorrow morning.
  19. I’m all in! Good ratios, instant stickage…2”
  20. People are rioting for bread, milk and eggs over that?? Weenie handbook rule #19: When the NAM cuts back on qpf, declare “convective feedback” and hug a model with higher totals. Sticking with my 1-3” call imby, but might be closer to the 1” now.
  21. Confluence is giving me a bad hair day
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