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aggiegeog

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Everything posted by aggiegeog

  1. The cold front is slowly advancing north still 40s in N TX with 70s and 80s in SE TX. E TX should see a line of strong storms tomorrow afternoon with temps falling from the mid 70s ahead of the front to 50s by evening and 30s by Wed morning. Thu morning could again see frost for NE TX. Temps then warm ahead of a strong front on Friday. Models show some hints of sleet Friday night along the Red River with a mix possible south of the River into N & NE TX.
  2. After a stormy week this week we should have a nice Easter. Beyond that looks like we turn cold again with snow showing on the Euro for areas north of I-20 next week.
  3. I had some frost this morning with a low around 35. 8 years ago we had the finale of the amazing 09/10 winter with widespread 2" and some spots over 6".
  4. Snuck in a freeze this morning with 32 degrees. Looks like we are in for a stormy weekend.
  5. 4 years ago today I experienced a sleet thunderstorm. Maybe the most amazing thing I have ever experienced weather wise. Ended up with around 2" of pure sleet though there was a lot of wind so hard to get accurate measurements with the drifting.
  6. 39 here this morning. I do expect a few frosts next week with at least one freeze for rural areas likely.
  7. The NM mountains continue to see their snow piling up with heavy snow falling this morning. They have been getting almost daily snow for the last week plus with that expected to continue for the foreseeable future.
  8. Getting bad out towards Abilene and Wichita Falls where there is an Ice Storm Warning. WWA to the NW edge of DFW could extend into Tarrant and Collin later today.
  9. For the city, it will take below 28 likely for significant impacts which is unlikely. Icicles hanging from signs and trees along with sleet is likely though. A very similar setup 10 days ago gave my area a glaze with white roofs with 28 to 31 degree surface and 50 degrees at 850 mb even some spotty snow.
  10. Incredibly hard call for DFW tomorrow. 33 and heavy rain or 29 and a mess of a mix. With such a shallow cold layer and warm ground major issues are unlikely though DFW has lots of elevated roads so it could get tricky out there. NW of DFW could get nasty though.
  11. Significant ice event possible tomorrow from the Midland area NE towards Wichita Falls tomorrow (light ice possible for DFW). Rain amounts will be over three inches for large swaths of N and E TX through Thursday with a few spots pushing up towards 10 inches. Sipapu received another 10" so the northern NM snowpack is quickly building finally.
  12. Looks like Sipapu got 10", their biggest snow of the season so far. They are finally over 2 feet for the season. Should be able to say that by before Christmas most years.
  13. To me it looks like a below average next few weeks with plenty of precip for most of the state. PNA going negative finally, EPO may be going positive though models have shown this many times and it has not happened and NAO/AO goes negative as the SSW event flexes its muscles. I would say wintery weather is very possible for northern Texas. Next week has potential though PNA may be too negative with too positive of a NAO. Later in the month still has good potential especially if the PNA stays closer to neutral. We are moving into a very Nino esque pattern with highs near or below average and lows near to above average with little to no sun and lots of rain. Anytime the PNA slips back toward neutral then we will turn chilly with some of the best Atlantic blocking we have seen in a long time. This will finally give the SW some drought relief hopefully extending into the Panhandles.
  14. I am still amazed at the snow reports. At first I discounted them with the very warm nose (50F at 850mb), but I guess the low levels were cold enough around 900mb with saturation to produce a surprise dusting for some around here.
  15. Impressive little event over E TX. A line of showers and thunderstorms passing through subfreezing surface temps producing a.mix of freezing rain, sleet and even a bit of snow. Bridges are slick and cars are coated in ice some spots have white ground. Solid WWA type system for most of E TX.
  16. Thundersleet shower near Brownwood. I remember experiencing that in March 2014 here.
  17. Metroplex removed from WWA though some freezing drizzle this morning is still likely along with sleet showers. Here in Hideaway we sit at 28 with a light glaze of ice on elevated surfaces from a bit of drizzle. We will see if we stay cold enough for sleet arond lunch time here. WWA still active here and to the SW of DFW.
  18. Chances for a widespread icing event are increasing for Saturday night and Sunday. This could be followed by a potentially bigger storm in the form of a cutoff uper low next week.
  19. Next Sunday and maybe into Monday could be wintery here in Texas. GFS starting to really dig the trough on Sunday on the 18Z though it shears it out before it reaches us so no wintery precip this run. Get that digging a bit deeper and hold it together longer and things turn very interesting around here.
  20. I received over 3.5" of rain last night. Temps are holding in the mid 30s with thick cloud cover so far today.
  21. Temps crashing pretty good this evening. It will be interesting to see if they can get down to 29 before significant precip ends over N TX.
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