KPITSnow

This is going to be another massive let down for us.

I hate when he calls everything “snowshower.”

Euro actually gives us 5 inches. That is a surprise.

That’s the best I’ve seen my way in awhile for this storm.

Which model? Everything I’m seeing shows maybe 3 inches max, maybe 4 in souther AGC.

It is really tough for me to get excited about a 2-3 inch storm.

NAM is really bad. Super fast...it only snows for 6 hours. 1-3 at most my way and 2-4 also everywhere else. edit: maybe 3-6 SCPA. And a bit more in SEPA. Sorry, I don’t really know where everyone on here is.

NAM is UGLY. It only snows for 6 hours. We might get 1-3 inches. Yikes.

Lol yeah, screw them. Boston has had so many foot to two foot storms recently I can’t count. The MA too...they’ve had multiple foot plus storms, and several historic storms since our last one in 2010. Im glad that tomorrow looks like it will screw the MA at least.

The January storm...every model the night before but the euro showed us getting close to nothing. Even that morning as it was raining we were still under a WSW for 5-8 inches. We all saw that coming a couple days out. The quick hit we got Thursday night, the day before we had a 30% chance of snow. Thursday morning they showed less than an inch.We didn’t get a WWA until it started to snow. They also busted pretty low on last weeks quick hit...I think they were 1-3 then had to up to 3-6 as the stprm progressed.

The long range HRRR gives us like 1-2 inches. I have no clue what PIT is looking at.

Well we have a WSW. I have no clue why but we do.

So they issue a WSW for this, but for the event where we got 4 inches in 4 hours last week, and it all came at the worst possible time they didn’t? They also didn’t issue the WWA Thursday night till it started snowing. Aybe theu know something we don’t?

It is a 10-12 hour event with .3-.5 qpf across most of the southern half of the state. Given marginal temp profiles, time of year, and not great rates, that could lead to a lot of issues with snow accumulating.

NAM is pretty meh for everyone in PA. 2-4, 3-5 out further east. GFS looks like the winner on this one. The Euro was totally out to lunch.

No I get it. For me my biggest storm of the year so far is 4 inches. At this point I’d rather it not snow than get another 2-4 inch event. Watching the euro put out foot totals 3 days in advance only to watch it move south or north all year in the last two days has really worn us down out this way.

Another thing to worry about is the euro had been weaker and further south nearly every run. Two days ago it had a foot of snow up near I-80...I was too far south in Pittsburgh. The GFS has been pretty consistent.

Checking the qpf totals, outside of maybe far SE PA, it looks like a 2-4, maybe 3-5 inch event. Plus, there was the mentioned mixing issues as you get further south and it is March which you have to worry about cutting down totals if you don’t have great rates.

Plus, someone else said the radar looks juiced on the NAM, but it looks pretty marginal to me. Maybe I’m pretty extreme southern PA? The whole system looks weak and strung out.

Isn’t amazing, after years of watching the GFS giving us 100 inches of snow and being wrong while the euro locks in on the correct solution, that this year the GFS has been dead on here and the euro has shown multiple big hits but been completely wrong?

Looks great for you! Not so much up here!

Can someone explain to me, how with no blocking, this Sunday stormis being pushed south? I have seen so many times where there is no blocking and the low tracks up to state college. I’ve also see. So many times that it gets suppressed because of strong blocking high pressure. In this case, there is no blocking, and the storm is consistently being modeled further and further south?

NAM might be about 2-4 inches. Would just rather get nothing at this point honestly.

The gfs is just absolutely horrendous lol.

Euro is giving me hope. We will see what caves to what here.