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Siberian-Snowcover-Myth

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Everything posted by Siberian-Snowcover-Myth

  1. 06z Gfs shows a stronger, more southern low developing Sun/mon. It’s been consistent on the development for several runs now. Whether it’s correct or not in its placement is a different matter.
  2. Went from, clear and 25 degrees for the high Wednesday, to Rain and 42, in 1 run. They’re all over the place I think. They aren’t handling the cold push correctly.
  3. Definitely several chances at winter weather from Jan 20-31st.
  4. Ended with 4.2” in Varina. (5 miles SE of RIC) 7.2” so far to date, (almost at climo).
  5. Lard in Varina. Pretreated sidewalks starting to cave.
  6. Looks like to my untrained eyes, RIC to Petersburg could be setting up in heavy bands shortly.
  7. Not sure how accurate the RAP model is … I’m just looking for juiciness.
  8. Well that escalated quickly….0zGFS looks juicier…
  9. .5” of qpf would drop 5-6” of fluff, especially with temps in the mid 20s. 12:1 ratios
  10. Unreal how juiced it is , only to fall apart as it moves east…. Or will it? I’d like to atleast get a 2”-4” event out of it.
  11. Actually I didn’t. It may have been closer to 5”. I was surprised also how quick it had melted.
  12. I got right at 4” from this past storm here in Varina. Wouldn’t mind another 4” to get me near climo, this early in the season. I think right now, we’re in a good spot for this next event.
  13. I’d rather see a southern slider than have it come up the coast. We’d stay in the cold air rather than risk warm air getting infiltrated into the storm.
  14. RIC almost doubled their totals. Definite southward shift in means.
  15. The biggest threat to this system is going to be the Apps mountains.
  16. Nothing more than a glorified cold front which breaks up coming over the mountains. Ridiculous.
  17. I don’t think any storm will be modeled until 3 days before it actually takes place, especially with this upcoming pattern.
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