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TauntonBlizzard2013

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Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013

  1. No worries. Everything is awesommmeeeeee.
  2. We all knew the first week or so was tenuous at best, especially south, but I mean, most ensemble guidance doesn’t have much to write home about as we approach the week leading up to Christmas. Again, this hasn’t gone as modeled the last week to 10 days. That’s fair to point out
  3. This is kind of the elephant in the room that nobody wants to address.
  4. I definitely don’t live on the water. We can easily escape marine influence here in a lot of events. Kevin is obviously further inland than I am, but he’s acting as if it’s a night and day difference, it is not. Beer is Beer though, so it is what it is.
  5. Yikes…. Can’t much worse than runs today. Break out the sandbags
  6. Pattern change is perpetually 11-15 days a way. Where have we seen that before?
  7. No shortage of liquid right through the 20th. Definitely going to be putting a dent in those deficits.
  8. Big time cutter that starts as some snow, especially north, on the 0z cmc at the end of the run
  9. You can’t get much more boring for winter enthusiasts than that 0z gfs run. Rain, rain, dry, suppression, dry, etc etc
  10. Rainers to Mainers on the 9th and 12th on the gfs
  11. It’s very early here. I’d almost prefer a better period centered around the holidays if possible. However, it’s okay to discuss things don’t look as good in the last few days. It is what it is.
  12. This is true, still running a deficit here.
  13. It’s probably best to check out for a few weeks and hopefully the good pattern isn’t still 15 days away when you return.
  14. We keep kicking the can a bit though. Hopefully we don’t kick it off a cliff
  15. Some people don’t want to hear it, so you can’t make them, but this is absolutely true. We are slowly inching the really good look out in time. That is fact, not fiction
  16. The caveat obviously is, mountains and CNE and NNE could cash earlier
  17. So we are essentially on the same page, more or less.
  18. Bob dropping knowledge in this thread. If you are looking objectively at this stuff, you are probably looking toward Christmas week give or take for a real favorable look.
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