Winter Wizard

6 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Welcome.  
Where in Somerville are you?

Just moved to the Davis Square area. Very excited! 

Hey everyone, just moved to Somerville so figured I'd introduce myself. I'm a degreed meteorologist from Penn State who spent many winters suffering from mid-Atlantic screw jobs and being envious of you New England folks. Hopefully I'll get to join in some of the fun this year. Nice to meet you all! 

9 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Nice, that's across from Camp Fretterd? Like 2 miles from my house.

Yeah very close to there, right off Old Hanover Road. That’s funny. 

Captured this wall cloud from the storm near Reisterstown earlier today. Tried to capture that storm near Elliott City but ended up getting caught in the rain shaft and 695 traffic.

Hope everyone stays safe out there.

9 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Really would like to see this cloud deck over PA start breaking up. Each frame it looks more and more like early spring wedge season.

Could say that about 90% of these severe weather setups around here. 

Not sure if it was mentioned, but CAMs did an abysmal job last night and this morning with the MCV over the Great Lakes region, everything developed farther south and west than progged.

Obviously we have the usual limiting factors in this area, but best jet dynamics still appear to be near the Mason-Dixon Line despite the enhanced moving northward. Need to keep a close eye on that line today. 

Stuck in the low 50s here in Annapolis. Thank you bay breeze.

3 hours ago, mappy said:

yay! got my mom an appointment!!!

Yay! Thanks to this post I just checked and got my grandparents an appointment this weekend at CVS, over 2 months before their originally scheduled date! 

Annapolis, MD:
38.968532, -76.513223

The returns over Wilmington are heavy snow, according to family members on the ground. 

Flipped to a snow/sleet mix. Mostly sleet at the moment. 

Moderate snow and immediately accumulating on all surfaces.

Sun angle season, am I right? 

It's snow here in Annapolis, let's go!!

35/25 in Annapolis. Going to be a close call for getting flakes here. 

Light snow/sleet mix in Annapolis. Had a decent glaze of ice on hard surfaces this morning. 

13 minutes ago, PSWired said:

Where in Annapolis are you? Here in Bay Ridge I've only got ~3/4" of accumulation. Looks like I've been in a dry slot, but that might change here in a few minutes.

I'm a bit farther west than you. 

Sleet bomb continues here. Measurements in the grass range from 1.2-1.8" or so. 

And now we're back to sleet but that was probably the heaviest snow we've seen all year. 

Wow, just flipped to mostly snow in Annapolis! 

Got about an inch of sleet on the ground and still assaulting at the moment. It's brutal outside.

Can't even be mad about missing out on the snow, this is a unique event and it's better than freezing rain. 

Wow, heaviest and loudest sleet I've experienced in years. 

Light sleet in Annapolis, been that way since the very beginning. 

8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

The NAM was too warm...but it also wasn't dry enough...so wouldn't those 2 kind of offset in the end?

Biggest takeaway from that is the mid-levels are about a degree warmer which is not a good sign. Being drier does mean more radiation cooling so while it’s not a bad thing, doesn’t mean much if the 850s torch. 

Here is a side by side comparison of the observed 0z sounding at Dulles vs. the 18z NAM depiction.

I'll throw my hat in the ring this time. I like 1-3/2-4" for DC before the changeover, a little more in Baltimore with amounts steadily increasing to the north and west. More concerned about the potential for prolonged icing along and east of I-95.
 

Looks like 18+ straight hours of ice near I-95 on top of a few quick inches of snow. If that verifies, yikes.