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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    Yeah it makes good progress early on then decides to take the low to Garret county and halt the progression. Not a lot of other models doing that. Pull out weenie rule book to say earlier hours are more important on the NAM.
  2. DDweatherman
    I'm liking the positioning of the high and the feed of cold air in at h60. Heights were lower out in front of the main slug here in our region.
  3. DDweatherman
    hr 30
  4. DDweatherman
    agreed. I do notice the slightest bit more tilt N to S on the axis, which could lead to less draping of the front.
  5. DDweatherman
    I just looked over us at one frame stopped after that lol
  6. DDweatherman
    I don't really care who is right between you and him, I just want to know about the run. I'm trying to play poker atm
  7. DDweatherman
    Where is the most important part? Can you make a box?
  8. DDweatherman
    Yeah heights are lower in the east thru h42
  9. DDweatherman
    18z GEFS looks a bit colder on the mean vs 12z, bit lower heights indicating good cold press from up north. (Just looking at the basic TT maps since I'm mobile). Can someone get us more.
  10. DDweatherman
    Got time to go to Michigan or Indiana?
  11. DDweatherman
    We know the Euro won't look like the GFS, but we do need it to start looking more like it and making some moves with the front.
  12. DDweatherman
    2003, really?
  13. DDweatherman
    Agreed, leave it to the GFS to whiff on one that shows a positive trend and wintry outcome. No doubts
  14. DDweatherman
    Good, bring it to papa.
  15. DDweatherman
    This is what to look at instead, 24 hour acc precip from hr 90 to 114 (NW zones go below freezing after hour 87 or so, by 90 its across the ICC-w of fall line crew.
  16. DDweatherman
    Whereas the 12z CMC is a step back if you want winter wx and a better aligned front with this one.
  17. DDweatherman
    This is definitely a pretty textbook look for icing in the OV stretching eastward to the MA, as @MillvilleWx just mentioned.
  18. DDweatherman
    You've been harping on the front alignment, and you can't hate what the GFS is doing. IF, and its a big if, it continues moving like it has the last 4-5 runs, there is definitely the potential to get some snow in the party with this one. Parts of the precip are falling into low-mid 20's air, would be a really nasty icing event verbatim. A 1-2 punch would help the snow piece.
  19. DDweatherman
    Well things have certainly changed since yesterday, and theres a high impact winter storm modeled to start in parts of our forum in <90 hrs according to the GFS.
  20. DDweatherman
    ^ For 3 days maybe
  21. DDweatherman
    Kentucky has had a few big ones, I remember the one in the early 2010's that was insane there. Crippled them.
  22. DDweatherman
    This would be a nasty run verbatim for a good chunk of folks. Maybe it can just keep going SE to get us more in the snow vs icing. 2 pretty noticeable shifts in 2 suites. Icon was icy as well for the NW crew.
  23. DDweatherman
    That's pretty hawt Randall. Tho in reality its getting icy already up here just thinking about that set-up.
  24. DDweatherman
  25. DDweatherman
    Could get icy for some in the frames to come.
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