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DDweatherman

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  1. DDweatherman
    Another note is for all the people saying the de-amping is causing a weaker low, its actually trended 988 to 986 in the same frame over the last 3 runs.
  2. DDweatherman
    The compaction of the shield is a tough one to know until very close to gametime. I expect an extremely intense band on the NW edge given this storms structure and some subsidence with the N/S wave pressing down on our low, which will be deepening pretty explosively. A 988 over the chesapeake bay in this set up is going to produce some serious rates and possible thunder snow. The tight shield if it verifies is just another point to believe this would fall extremely heavily in the snow zone.
  3. DDweatherman
    It sounds like a weak nothing burger everywhere based on the NYC/NE threads.
  4. DDweatherman
    I'd lock that in a heartbeat.
  5. DDweatherman
    That's a fair move SE
  6. DDweatherman
    It did bring things south however, getting closer. It was our furthest north model.
  7. DDweatherman
    That’s bad for most people on the east coast minus Philly to nyc and 6-8 is the max really
  8. DDweatherman
    6z euro is almost too deamped like the nothing burner gem and uk runs 2-3 days ago
  9. DDweatherman
    Yep, and 2-4” for N and parts of CMD on 0z Euro. Made a nice south move. Doesn’t have heavy stuff like the other media over s pa/n Md but a nice swath.
  10. DDweatherman
    My wife and kids left on one of the allegiant flights from HGR today lol. They had to try that out since it was last minute, seems like ok value if you only check like 1 bag.
  11. DDweatherman
    @mitchnickcan you post 12z ukmet?
  12. DDweatherman
    The question is what do we do if the nam looks like 18z again and the other models go south more? Mitch the gem including those off hour gem runs might be the worst model out there. Canadian had a non event and that has 12-18” north side of NYC and a foot in town. good news is if nyc gets a foot we probably snow 3-6 here lol
  13. DDweatherman
    I’m at 14” for the year in Carroll Valley
  14. DDweatherman
    Makes you want one more shift like the gfs just did again, then we can all rejoice
  15. DDweatherman
    Gfs was a nice little s/se tick. Vort continued to be weaker and a bit more south out west and as it moved E. It was a nice improvement surprisingly.
  16. DDweatherman
    The RA/SN line folks who end up just on the good side will be having a blast…great rates, good gusts, low vis with fatties falling.
  17. DDweatherman
    I am watching runs to consider a chase up to Mohegan Sun, have some comp rooms available. Will probably be a game time decision.
  18. DDweatherman
    We’d still be hall of famers in the MLB, and we have several more chances before we’d hit the Mendoza line
  19. DDweatherman
    Yeah I held on hope probably too long for us on this one for snow, it will probably keep leaking north taking MDT and some other areas out of much snow.
  20. DDweatherman
    Huge move north and a ton of qpf. What it probably means is the euro snow numbers in SNE could have legs
  21. DDweatherman
  22. DDweatherman
    Sadly just converging northward towards other guidance. Would be nice if NAM was the convergence zone, but with Euro/EPS bailing that was pretty much our last hope. UK and CMC are garbage models.
  23. DDweatherman
    I think the NAM is going to have more of a clue and look more like the GFS/Euro just looking thru h24. Let's see if that's true. Little faster h5 vort and slightly north of last run.
  24. DDweatherman
    It's kind of a relief, no need to be further invested. I'm almost on the other side of the fence rooting for it to go way north lol
  25. DDweatherman
    12z eps isn’t out
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