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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    Second that
  2. DDweatherman
    @NorthArlington101 all pretty encouraging trends and a nice gradual bleed south.
  3. DDweatherman
  4. DDweatherman
  5. DDweatherman
    Definitely snow for Mappyland on that frame with a couple good hours of precip left. 1/2 degrees colder down near DC and the column would be nice, probably still snow given the 850’s crash when the low deepens…but non accumulating I’d suspect
  6. DDweatherman
    18z Euro as expected was a nice run. 0z will be fun folks. That h90 frame was solid with some more precip to fall and 850’s crashing
  7. DDweatherman
    Tasty
  8. DDweatherman
    Definitely the best presentation so far from anyone in the Canadian family. We’re getting some snow if a 998 primary is around RoA or Danville transferring to the coast.
  9. DDweatherman
    That low position at sub 1000 is a good look!
  10. DDweatherman
    I don’t love that, but I do like the axis blizz posted above. If we have a 987 over ocean city Md we’re probably snowing even in this set up. A little more N/S interaction wouldn’t have been bad except where the features are now it would pull things a bit too north for us
  11. DDweatherman
    It was camps related at 12z it seemed, this frame is beautiful from 18z gefs. I did see low positions and OP was on northern edge
  12. DDweatherman
    That’s beautiful
  13. DDweatherman
  14. DDweatherman
    GEFS at 18z gets 4” line down to Baltimore. Op is on the northern side of the low positions envelope. someone throw up the WB if they get a chance to compare to 12z
  15. DDweatherman
    We hope it still is since the euro is closer and has been trending south along with its ensembles. Wagons south, there’s no way we can get 3 south trends in one winter right?
  16. DDweatherman
    Yeah 18z wasn’t worse than 12z other than h5/h7 low positioning and that was 25 miles difference. stronger low earlier dynamically got a few places more snow vs 12z, especially further E
  17. DDweatherman
    18z euro gonna be rockin
  18. DDweatherman
    Agreed. Low was just more intense on 18z. Actually brings heavier snow closer to m/d line in York county and Lanco than the last 2 runs
  19. DDweatherman
    In some ways, it did. H5&h7 axis are a few miles north, which we’d want to see go the other way. But, the low is in a similar position as 12z and more amped sooner with a 987 on DE coast. If this storm was 6 hours slower with that same evolution, it would be 6”+ M/D like north. there was a formidable ccb on 18z. If we can get the gfs a bit south like some of the other models at that intensity, it’ll show a primo outcome for most
  20. DDweatherman
    The more I look at 18z, it seems more of a hold. Might be gfs stopping the bleed and about to head back south a bit
  21. DDweatherman
    I was thinking it was worse than 12z noticeably, but it’s really not. Gives us hope it goes back the other way tonight like the euro and others have been.
  22. DDweatherman
    On that frame it’s really carbon copy of 12z, snow line is actually a bit more south in parts of PA and the low is at 988. If we could get euro’s precip axis with that low strength we’d be in business.
  23. DDweatherman
    New data coming at 1030 tonight thank god
  24. DDweatherman
    Great news is the gfs will start going back south at 0z given the way things go with these threads. And euro and friends will continue to beef up
  25. DDweatherman
    Gfs stinks, icon has come south a good bit. Gfs and icon now northern end of guidance, with nam euro uk ggem them all south
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