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DDweatherman

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  1. DDweatherman
    I'm dead. Tried to sneak that one in there.
  2. DDweatherman
    Well sorry, I agree (it’s not discounting). I should have clarified he’s saying the verbatim output for 10-1 maps and face value is pretty unlikely! Sorry @high risk!
  3. DDweatherman
    I’m mobile, can you give me a visual?
  4. DDweatherman
    I’m thinking 2-3” on a corridor from MRB to FDK across up to about my yard in Westminster over to Bel Air. Localized jack somewhere right along 70 from a FDK to Mt. Airy to Mariottsville/Ellicott City Line.
  5. DDweatherman
    Well I mean @high risk works in NWP is sorta saying to discount it, so hard to give it weight.
  6. DDweatherman
    Radar ob, looking pretty good over SWVA/the OV.
  7. DDweatherman
    I didn’t want to log in just to say but yes it’s the NAVGEM formerly NOGAPS.
  8. DDweatherman
    I’m gonna bet NHC goes 155 or maybe 160 anyway this advisory. She’s gonna go a little lower and respond wind wise in the next few hrs I’d expect.
  9. DDweatherman
    Just edited my post to add Gilbert right before you posted.
  10. DDweatherman
    Rita and Dorian probably my favorite’s. edit to add Gilbert as well.
  11. DDweatherman
    Was my train of thought as well. If current presentation holds for 3-6 more hours at a 2-5mb rate of drop, it very well could translate to a sub 910 level storm.
  12. DDweatherman
    I think regardless of strength, probably will be remembered as one of the most impressive storms ever on sat.
  13. DDweatherman
    Arguably one of the best looking storms on record in the Satellite era with some of the most robust estimates... and that happens. Well I’ll be dammed.
  14. DDweatherman
    That’s the thrill, almost makes not having recon all day worth the suspense since we’re not quite sure what to expect
  15. DDweatherman
    My 917/165 is gonna have to be 902/175 final
  16. DDweatherman
    Forrealz? Just need to cite that would be the strongest ATL cane by wind speed on record...
  17. DDweatherman
    Also, can we all agree this is the most highly anticipated November recon mission ever? We have a monster that we haven’t sampled since it was a 90mph cane! What suspense!
  18. DDweatherman
    The main reason I think it’s not going to have pressure THAT low is about overall time/size at this intensity to deepen that low. More likely to have winds in the 175-180 range than pressure 885-905.
  19. DDweatherman
    I’m thinking 145 kts (165) and 917mb. Around or under 2 hours until recon makes it in.
  20. DDweatherman
    That cell over Frederick may be our first to go today. Little rotation in it as well.
  21. DDweatherman
    For me id say Feb 5/6, 2010 PD2 December 2009/January 1996 January 25,2000 January 2016
  22. DDweatherman
    Just think this, I am 20 and have experienced 10"+ events on 1/26/11, 2/13/14, 12/19/09, 2/5/10, 2/10/10, 2/12/06, 1/25/00, 1/7/96, and PDII 11,14,20,32,21,14,19/20,26, and 34. Impressive I'd say.
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