DDweatherman
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Everything posted by DDweatherman
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This reminds me of that event we were supposed to get blitzed with rates early in the AM, couple years ago. Rates and intense banding didn’t really pan, and we got like 1.3” in Baltimore.
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Post less.
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I stopped paying attention on day 3 as I was in town for work. We’re there lots of places that picked up those totals? (outside the Catoctins folks)
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Do we have a new run of the HREF out recently?
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It also hasn’t been that bullish overall just yet. We’re waiting for that run tomorrow that does something silly.
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Oh yeah? Lemme see
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FDK to CAPE crushed.
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The thing is even if this lasts 6-9 hrs, there could be 4-6” in a 2-3 hr span.
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Meanwhile the ICON last run at 18z was a great hit and stretched this out to a 12 hr storm.
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You got 5” on Tuesday in Germantown? That’s sick. We tacked on about 1-1.5” here.
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Yeah that’s something to look out for. What does the ceiling really become with that evolution in an otherwise fast flow? It would certainly bomb the low a bit quicker and slow it down further in this case?
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Searching for my 3rd 6”+ event of the season near Westminster. Not bad with another event looming behind this one.
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@HighStakes @losetoa6 @psuhoffman @mappy I love this panel for us. Rippin
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As this gets closer, if that h85 closes off and the low tucks off OC with this slowing down a bit as we’ve seen, some places could get some big totals near the mix line/in biggest bands.
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But not to worry, the 18z ICON is a crusher for most CAPE and W out to OKV.
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RGEM decides on a nice SE run after coming nicely in line at 12z and the CMC smacked us. Typical. Not a lot of consistency this week from it.
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Ninja myself on the 3k run to say it was sweet for us. Try 1-2"/hr for a few hours Sunday morning. Must see TV.
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Yeah, if we see more dynamic runs like the NAM's just delivered @ 18z, look out. We're waiting for one of those RGEM runs with 18".
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The 3k sim radar is a complete destruction for those that stay in the cold sector. 3"/hr rates up 95 from NVA to NYC.
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Picking apart those details with that evolution on the NAM is a silly idea. Let the euro or gfs show that same evolution and we're getting a borderline double digit snowfall.
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3k looks a little anemic here on precip, but @losetoa6 @WinterWxLuvr with a 996 there, we would be getting shellacked.
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Slowing down this run a bit because of the tilt of the jet and the interaction between the streams up through h30/36.
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Not only is our S/W amped up, the NS isn't pressing any more than it was on the earlier runs. Expect to see this maybe take on more neg tilt and really go to town.
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That's nice, but at least add an image so the amateur/new members here can match something to that.
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I'd assume the two will level out for a similar evolution to 12z, but nice to see our s/w amping up like that while also interacting with the northern piece.
