DDweatherman

The euro really is a solid outcome for many folks N/W of 95 and even in closer to Baltimore to the 495 beltway it’s a solid run. Up in my neck of the woods near Westminster/just west, we’re looking solid for a 10-15” snowfall for the Parr’s ridge crew including Loseto and PSU over to mappy. Obviously some of the clown maps are a bit overdone, but even reducing 25% gets us a foot on Euro/GFS/CMC even. The good part about this run of the Euro is we’re not depending on a CCB/deform as much to hit good totals. It’s colder early on and everyone puts down a few inches initially. It comes in relatively hot and heavy as depicted this run.

I don’t know if anyone noticed but the low is also 8mb stronger, so that wouldn’t hurt us here at that latitude.

I’m gonna bet NHC goes 155 or maybe 160 anyway this advisory. She’s gonna go a little lower and respond wind wise in the next few hrs I’d expect.

Just edited my post to add Gilbert right before you posted.

Rita and Dorian probably my favorite’s. edit to add Gilbert as well.

Was my train of thought as well. If current presentation holds for 3-6 more hours at a 2-5mb rate of drop, it very well could translate to a sub 910 level storm.

I think regardless of strength, probably will be remembered as one of the most impressive storms ever on sat.

Arguably one of the best looking storms on record in the Satellite era with some of the most robust estimates... and that happens. Well I’ll be dammed.

That’s the thrill, almost makes not having recon all day worth the suspense since we’re not quite sure what to expect

My 917/165 is gonna have to be 902/175 final

Forrealz? Just need to cite that would be the strongest ATL cane by wind speed on record...

Also, can we all agree this is the most highly anticipated November recon mission ever? We have a monster that we haven’t sampled since it was a 90mph cane! What suspense!

The main reason I think it’s not going to have pressure THAT low is about overall time/size at this intensity to deepen that low. More likely to have winds in the 175-180 range than pressure 885-905.

I’m thinking 145 kts (165) and 917mb. Around or under 2 hours until recon makes it in.

That cell over Frederick may be our first to go today. Little rotation in it as well.

The one in Westminster off Englar? Has to be that one right.

Randy, you might as well make Ji admin after all, put it to you that way.

He used to be sharper, must just be tired.

In other words old news Yoder.

Where’s the Clarksburg folk that always get a good band and stay 2 degrees colder than you down there?

Better than last GFS run and similar to NAM is what he means. Not sure I agree to that extent, but gfs has improved again it seems.

Not expecting much from the gfs when that does come here shortly, but 6z was headed in a better direction at least. Like bob, love what I see on the icon.

This is also the 6z run.

For me id say Feb 5/6, 2010 PD2 December 2009/January 1996 January 25,2000 January 2016

Just think this, I am 20 and have experienced 10"+ events on 1/26/11, 2/13/14, 12/19/09, 2/5/10, 2/10/10, 2/12/06, 1/25/00, 1/7/96, and PDII 11,14,20,32,21,14,19/20,26, and 34. Impressive I'd say.