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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. Do the different model suites ingest different data sets..i.e. American vs UK vs Euro, or do they all use the same data inputs? Not sure if that made sense
  2. Yeah it's not going to be pounding while temps are sitting in the mid 30s. Temps will pin down to 32 or 32.5° along the coast during the heaviest rates. I wouldnt even worry inland a few miles from the beaches. That being said..it will start as rain here and I can't see getting more than 5 or 6" with crappy ratios
  3. GFS or most models? I guess if it was only the GFS id toss it's thermals..but concerned if others were on board, especially here. We need rates in the end
  4. I was thinking confluence but could be a combination of things..like strength and timing of shortwave (slower?)
  5. I'll take a messenger shuffle at this point. It's precarious here with maybe 2-3" of cement vs 6" on earlier runs
  6. I thought it was a tick warmer here at onset, but not sure if it was just a timing issue, i.e slower . most likely noise
  7. Euro looks good here but may start wet or waste some qpf before it goes to town. Cant really complain since this would be the first notable storm in over 2 years.
  8. The 18z ICON has stronger confluence so far, but that 12z run was zonked so no surprise EDIT; Still pretty zonked lol.
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