SouthCoastMA
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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA
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Today turned out pretty decent. Yesterday wasn't bad either,
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enjoy your mushroom filled end of summer guys!
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Could be Point Judith landfall
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Couldn't find a circulation and decided to pack it up for the day
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HERPES anyone? The 6z GFS was fairly ominous for SE areas but nothing since has been close to that.
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RGEM a bit west from 6z. Now with a BID track. That's my thinking in the end
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ASOUTEK. Not locking that it yet..but I think Montauk is the western goal post now. Maybe Buzzards Bay is the Far east post
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I'm under a TS warning. Not sure if a watch is warranted given it's lack of strengthening
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The paranoia and sensitivity of the CT peeps is
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Two camps on the 12z hurricane models. RI landfall vs LI. Spread is def greater this morning
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Montauk to BID is the goal post. I'm leaning BID based on latest trends
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The HeyMON landfalls near BID
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RGEM is east as well. I think the Euro tickles a bit more east and this ends up a BID landfall
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Wouldn't be surprised to see the western outliers come east, and the tracks narrowing between Central LI and Block Island
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People around here think a huge storm is still coming - My wife just told me that all of her friends and coworkers are saying we're in the direct path and I'm the only one who has meh'd it. Hope I'm right, lol I told her maybe we'll get a few gusts to 30mph. That's probably on the high end in reality
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Unless I'm getting notable winds..I'm outtie
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Current trends are meh here, but I'm ok with it
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My mood is kinda on edge. In one respect, I'd like to see a TS/Hurricane slam into us for the meteorogical enjoyment. And on the other, I would have no issue if mr flex seal dude spared my house.
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Seems that most models now have that bend. Intensity all over the mf map
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The euro is hilarious. A weak remnant swirl with 10mph gusts upon closet approach
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That leftward bend seems legit though. Big question is what shape the storm will be in when it reaches us. No where close to narrowing any intensity windows yet
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Looks pretty close to the current hurricane model consensus. Probably the most likely scenario still. Just off Chatham or east
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Ya - was just going by the current mean which seems to be near/east..but not west of the Cape. A storm like this could destroy the boardwalk, which is already in pretty bad condition. On second thought, demolition of it has been approved so maybe this will save them some work https://www.capecodtimes.com/story/news/2021/07/16/sandwich-boardwalk-ma-demolished-new-boardwalk-meet-ada-access-requirements-federal-flood-code/7939097002/
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That track is pretty bad for here..if we get NE winds. Serious erosion potential
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There's two camps..the bend inward camp and the whiff. I don't think it will end up being an average of them, or near miss. It's either a hit or an easy miss. A little too early to get excited, but it has my interest piqued at least.
