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HIPPYVALLEY

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Posts posted by HIPPYVALLEY

  1. 3 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

     Here are the final snowfall amounts from the storm that began on Sunday and ended early this morning.

     

    AVvXsEhhSYIQQqVDQQepa6Tice7yxsonnQD7oo4O

    Versus the Eastern Mass Weather Final Call:

     

     

    AVvXsEiIhEq5zdMH8ZBZSDK2gcoFilQvCrqwQrtq

    The forecast across the elevated far interior was fairly accurate, however, the snowfall was significantly over forecast across the densely coastal plane of the eastern and souther portions of the region. More specifically, 1-3" fell where 2-5" was forecast along the immediate coast of eastern Mass. And 4-7" was forecast instead of the 2-5" that fell across interior Eastern Mass, throughout the route 128 and 495 belts. The gradient was also sharper than forecast across southern Connecticut, Rhode Island, the cape islands., where little to no snowfall accumulated rather than the 1-3" forecast. The primary reason for the forecasting failure is that the precipitation never grew heavy enough to overcome very marginal temperatures. This was an issue that was flagged on much of guidance prior to the event, as evidenced by fairly weak lift that was not colocated within the favored snow growth region in the mid levels of the atmosphere, which is between approximately 12 and -18C. As it turned out this bette lift did in fact materialize, but it further north across central New Hampshire, where several inches did fall last night.
     
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    Final Grade: D

    Outside of the elevations above 600' or so, those W MA totals are too high on the NWS BOX map.  I drove all over the valley today and the I-91/CTRV corridor barely had more than an inch otg between Brattleboro and Springfield.  Not at all giving you shit for busting because I liked your maps and I like your forecasts in general.  I'm just saying that the NWS forecasts and the totals they are posting, for this storm,  are a bit overdone for the lower elevations.

    • Like 1
  2. 9 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

    Looks like a wintry weekend upcoming in NNE for my trip. Models have snow in the air Thursday and Friday

    Not sure how much they picked up this past storm but we are heading up to N Conway the weekend after.  It will definitely be wintery no matter what.  Cutters with rains to Maine seem to be off the table for a bit.

    • Like 2
  3. Relative to normal, most ensembles, are pretty much a continent wide, semi-furnace thru mid month.  It's going to take some needle threading to get measurable snow for SNE the next 2 weeks.  It's what we've got going on, so may as well settle in to that vibe.  Hopefully we get something to pop next week. 

  4. 26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

    I haven't felt this taxed and defeated in a long time. Just an all around shit feeling. Enjoy the snow...those that got it. I probably would take the day off and just walk around in the snow, should that day ever come this year. 

    I know. We had a fair January here but nothing special and now we are in the heart of winter with barely any snow on the ground.
     Greenfield winter carnival is this weekend so I’m sure they will have to cancel most of the events.  I will say this, every year it’s the first weekend in February and more than half of them have not worked out, so maybe time to move it further into the month.

    :axe:

     

     

     

     

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