DeltaT13

Buffalo to roc looks firmly entrenched in the stable Lake Erie marine layer.

You’re in a better position than I am. Just outside the typical shadow

CAPE values already over 4000j/kg at 10am but the ever present Lake Erie shadow worries me. I would love to cash in on this energy with some massive storms today.

Woke up to a wet bulb of 79 and a dewpoint of 78. Feels insane.

That might be the most lightning I’ve ever seen around here too. Just crazy good. I recorded thousands of strikes.

Wouldn’t be surprised to see some snow in the high peaks on Saturday morning.

The amount of lightning to my west is just amazing tonight. Virtually constant for a full half hour now. I drove out to a wide open field. It’s been a great night.

You know they are big storms when the radar in DC is easily picking them up.

Man those storms that popped in genesee county exploded up to 55 thousand feet in a hurry. There is a Ton of atmosphere in play tonight, but looks like I’m already out of luck unless I catch some rogue outflow action in the predawn hours.

Meso models definitely want to blow up some sort of huge convective complex tonight, but looks like it may initiate south of us. Some signs that there could be some propagation of storms north on outflow boundaries. Will definitely be a fun night to keep an eye on things. The fuel is certainly there.

So much lightning in these storms. Nearly continuous at times.

That storm complex north of the lake was incredible.

Actually over 4K!

The atmosphere sure is ripe. Crazy CAPES for us. Saw some 3000s popping up.

Another troll post from our resident loser. And he wonders why we don’t like him. Lol, zero self awareness.

There must be something or someone that tracks this, I don't put a ton of stock in them. Those two maps for the same time period came out 4 days apart and are polar opposites of each other. 4 days man....

There is no reason to take these maps seriously for any long range. This was posted on the 28th This was posted today for the basically the same time period.

We were off to a great start but the Lake breeze came in with a big fat “No spring for you!!” I have a bittersweet relationship with this lake.

The connection is that you quoted a troll with no weather knowledge. STOP FEEDING THE MORONS AROUND HERE!

I bought a Champion generator in 2012 when Superstorm Sandy was heading our way, it cost about $400. I've only used it three times since then. I run it about twice a year for 15 minutes and put Stabil in the gasoline for long term storage. I've changed the oil twice in that time. There has been virtually no additional cost or maintenance, or at least extremely minimal maintenance. It just sits in the back corner of the garage ready to go. Pretty much as easy as it gets to have that kind of peace of mind. I think you are over complicating this in your head.

Storm recap map. You can see carol obviously juiced her numbers; as usual….with a tiny red dot on the Tug being the most snow of anywhere in the whole Northeast, (eye roll).

There is a lot more snow cover than I realized from this last storm, especially in the Western Southern Tier. Even some snow on the higher ridges in Virginia. This is a really nice loop, check it out before it gets too cloudy. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24

I assume you're on well water? Seems like having a generator would be a top priority if a power outage cuts off even your water. If you love extreme weather, you gotta be one step ahead of it! Good luck with the cleanup!

Nice recap! I must say I'm a bit jealous. I haven't seen a late season storm like this in 30 years for my area on the lake plain.

So now two of the largest synoptic events in all of upstate over the last couple of years have happened in Binghamton. Good grief....what is the world coming to.