stormtracker

114 next shade of green, but those darks are still just south...come on baby

Ok, light precip over the area at 108..heavies south and west...climb dammit

Now let's see if it translates down the line. GFS is liable to still fuck this up

lol, looks nothing like 12z at h5

It's coming out much more than 12z...and is in line with other guidance lookswise

Wave is open and moving more easter

GFS looking better out west with the baja wave...further east at 66

Looks like a hold? Who knows. It's not even done at the end of the run

Hey yall. Stop. Stop this now.

Look, you’ll never stand out being a follower. My recommendation? 32”-47” with lollies of 50 in favored areas.

Yay, meeting time at work. Will return for the GFS/ICON. Hopefully.

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 314 PM EST Tue Jan 20 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Confidence is continuing to increase for a significant winter storm for the region Saturday into Sunday. Additionally, snow accumulations increase for upslope snow showers in the Alleghenies Wednesday night. && .KEY MESSAGES... - 1) Significant winter storm expected across the Mid- Atlantic states late Saturday through Sunday bringing widespread snow. Arctic high pressure will build into the area Friday afternoon into Saturday morning providing the source for very cold temperatures this weekend into early next week. - 2) Accumulating snow is likely along the Alleghenies Wednesday night through Thursday morning. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...Significant winter storm expected across the Mid-Atlantic states late Saturday through Sunday bringing widespread snow. Arctic high pressure will build into the area Friday afternoon into Saturday morning providing the source for very cold temperatures this weekend into early next week. Broad upper troughing will remain established across the Great Lks into the northern Mid-Atlantic through at least early next week. Southern stream energy is expected to interact with very cold air to the north to produce moderate to heavy snow across the area this weekend. Looking at most recent model data, the 12Z GFS and 12Z NAM remain the furthest south and weakest solutions as it leaves more energy cut off while the 12Z EC and Canadian models show more energy getting absorbed into the northern stream. The 12Z EPS and AIFS are more consistent with their deterministic runs while the GFES shows a very different solution to its deterministic run. Will continue to highlight a significant winter storm affecting the area this weekend in our Hazardous Weather Outlook.

Come out back, let me holla at you real quick

You think so, huh?

Like that the EPS got a lil better

I mean it really is the only reasonable call living in this area. Never go big this far out...and for us 6 to 10 is MECS

I'm staying with 6 to 10...maybe 12 if we're lucky.

Not even close friend...but I do need a nap

Who said it was meh/awful?

All jokes aside, this is certainly better than I thought...but also...Kuchera, so..

I'm good my 6 to 10 goal is still in range. What's next?

@NorthArlington101 you know what time it is

That's fucking awful those pics I mean. Geez. The things I do for you folks

Fuck it. I’ll be a boomer today.

Without qpf shit and maps that sv robbed me of, i can't rightly tell. That's why I didn't characterize it