sussexcountyobs
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Everything posted by sussexcountyobs
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Thankyou. They mesh. Sometimes they are different and doesn't make sense.
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6-10 8-12" Thats only a 2" difference. Basically the same forecast.
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Do you have the corresponding Mt. Holly map?
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What's up PS brother. I knew this storm was coming, and called in a vacation day for Monday this past Wednesday.
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Why is that impossible? At least for a time?
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We are prepared. Extra crews are on standby.
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As a laymen who doesn't really understand how to analyze these models, is there still a stall off Delmarva or Atlantic City? Or if not a stall, a retrograde?
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I am thinking they will issue a Watch here at their 4pm update. I assume because we were teetering on the edge of warning level snows and they wanted to wait to see what models did today.
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Maybe a dumb question, but what is this Kuchera ratio? It always seems higher than other guidance.
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That's not much precip on that map unless I'm reading it wrong?
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What's final? So it's set in stone now?
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I get it. But my real reason for that post was that means they think moisture will be pretty far north. That may be a good sign for the interior?
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I commented about that about 6am this morning.
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I understand fully. But look at the totals surrounding it. This is not an elevation storm, and areas south of there are high elevations also in Ulster. Probably higher I believe.
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That 5-6" amount blob north of Ulster county seems odd?
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I was scratching my head about that also?
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For the interior, we need a 40-50 mile jog northwest.
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Problem is that upper level low in the north Atlantic. Models are picking up on its southwest arm moving further south and west. Hence our storm will be forced to form further south and go east.
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Everyone prays for blocking. Well you got it all January. How'd that work out?
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This has fish storm for heaviest precip written all over it.
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True. But what does that have to do with precip types during a storm? I can see urban development and heat island effect keeping near ground surface temps warmer on a cold clear night. But it will have no effect during a coastal storm. Maybe on accumulation, but not on what's falling from the sky.
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