I don't do forecasts. But. Looking at all the forecasts I've seen right now. Looks like a good bet for a coating to 2" for NYC proper. 1-3"/2-4" nw of 287.
Currently: clear, calm, 27.9
If we can get 3" out my way, that would put me around 15" for the season. Lake has been frozen, and the young guys have been playing hockey for at least a week. Not a bad start to winter.
Lake ice is a very tricky thing. A couple days of slight warming and below freezing at night is no big deal when u get snow a several inches of snow cover on lake. Its like an insulating blanket. It will melt from below the ice.
Yes. I am a sissy when it comes to going out on ice. I like 6". Preferably 8" of clear non slush ice. The young bucks were out there today. And drilled over the whole lake. 5" of solid clear ice.