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wasnow215

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Everything posted by wasnow215

  1. wasnow215
    12z but yeah
  2. wasnow215
    Again looking at 12z GFS it looks again like 2am-4am snow showers and temps below 32° Short Pump area. Clearly from the city south and east nothing really at all I was just concerned about those North west areas of the city. I appreciate the input from all of you!
  3. wasnow215
    @RIC Airportspecific question and need your help please regarding a meeting near short pump for tomorrow very early. It’s looking like there could be an inch of snow according to the GFS right around 3 AM-5am. We may cancel or do online only? Thoughts?
  4. wasnow215
    Care to expand? Haha
  5. wasnow215
    It’s been this way for a long time, but we can see how the short term models that had the snow missing to the north were absolutely wrong even 6z this morning. Nothing is perfect but still the euro and the GFS most reliable.
  6. wasnow215
    Sticking now east end
  7. wasnow215
    Snow on the east end. Not sticking
  8. wasnow215
    100% -and it looks like returns are coming in more south than some of the short term models and even the GFS had it this morning and 0Z last night. You see that @RIC Airport? Or am I having “radar hallucinations”? Haha
  9. wasnow215
    Gfs only 10:1
  10. wasnow215
    Situation where 20 miles could mean the difference between 1 and 4 inches of snow. Maybe 10-15 miles
  11. wasnow215
    I compare rain events and NAM consistently is bad vs GFS.
  12. wasnow215
    South of Richmond maybe. Richmond is fine. GFS has RVA jackpotted now
  13. wasnow215
    I don’t have to ask how much for Short Pump! A lot! Lol
  14. wasnow215
    Southeast of the city a few degrees colder too. Just one model but it keeps trending better.
  15. wasnow215
    18z 2m temps 7pm.
  16. wasnow215
    Look- 12z GFS 2m temps at 7 pm
  17. wasnow215
    Just gotta get these temps a couple degrees colder than forecasted at the surface. GFS looked colder to me at 18z vs 12z. You see that @RIC Airport?
  18. wasnow215
    Yes, I think over the years with this hobby, I have learned that just looking at the forecasted snow maps from the weather models and even the most conservative accumulation maps can bite you because temperatures mean so much. We have all seen really good chances of storms end up being “white rain” and even though it snows for a long duration, nothing really amounts from it.
  19. wasnow215
    I was thinking this but look at temps. It looks like surface temps don’t even get below 33-34 even Monday night into Tuesday morning. Meaning it may be difficult for snow to accumulate anywhere but the coldest surfaces Monday into Tuesday. It’s later Tuesday into Wed that the cold air really comes in after things dry out for the most part. @RIC Airport do you think this is how it plays out?
  20. wasnow215
    3K NAM looks good and imo a little more reliable than HRRR at this range
  21. wasnow215
    That GFS run was like a football team down 23-10 in the 4th qtr (hour 114), but then got its act together to pull out a 24-23 win! Let’s go!
  22. wasnow215
    This right here-People just got fooled by the bad start of the run when it looked totally squashed.
  23. wasnow215
    I think it’s the opposite. Dejected thinking it was totally OTS, but then psyched about actual ( and maybe plowable) snow.
  24. wasnow215
    I remember this well. Car battery died overnight into 12/24 and car was just a few months old.
  25. wasnow215
    It’s kind of a funny thing I made up a few years ago. Since Va fought with the south in the civil warm I consider it the south. So since we’re the central part of the state and the northern part of the state really is the southern part of the north, I’ve dubbed us Green Bay of the south. Okay moving on haha.
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