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JC-CT

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Everything posted by JC-CT

  1. JC-CT
    gotcha, yeah I'm not big on Friday at all. I just think the GFS at least is struggling with the southern stream.
  2. JC-CT
    heh?
  3. JC-CT
  4. JC-CT
    upper end for the mid atlantic, maybe
  5. JC-CT
    GFS is threatening to make Friday interesting. Still seeing some meaningful changes happening early in these runs. So many vortmaxes, so little time
  6. JC-CT
    Yeah, at least as modeled, 6z GFS had a closed 500mb low over Georgia
  7. JC-CT
    Reggie is way OTS for Friday fwiw
  8. JC-CT
    Pack starting to wane in the SE
  9. JC-CT
    At least back then you had lots of company. Well yeah, I sh!t on it but obviously still looked at it lol.
  10. JC-CT
    lol I was thinking that. pretty much same distribution as last storm. good thing it's the ICON
  11. JC-CT
    I'd post the ICON for Monday, if it weren't the ICON.
  12. JC-CT
    Wow...so I don't know if I've ever seen a GFS OP run be so far outside the spread of the ensembles at a day 5-7 lead. I guess there is what, 1 CRV runner on the 6z GEFS, and every other member is over Bermuda. Just odd. Just the general lack of spread is odd.
  13. JC-CT
    Yeah but is it wave 2 or wave 3
  14. JC-CT
    The tough thing there is that lead shortwave (or shortwaves...I think it is actually two of them, one currently over socal and one over the AZ/Mexico border) is being pretty well sampled right now.
  15. JC-CT
    maybe. I wasn't really being serious
  16. JC-CT
    and the carolinas...sheesh. so probably not happening?
  17. JC-CT
    Congrats Atlanta on the next one...man, that would have so much more of an impact down there than 12" up here does
  18. JC-CT
    pulling the trigger now...for nova scotia
  19. JC-CT
    yeah, that's fine with me too. usually about done with it by then.
  20. JC-CT
    obviously a little far west though
  21. JC-CT
    yeah but look at that epo lol
  22. JC-CT
    it's like 250 southwest, actually
  23. JC-CT
    feel free to pick and choose your weeniest sref members
  24. JC-CT
    And then the top analog in the southeast at hour 132 is 1/12/96, which looks like it was a big event for the CNE/NNE/WNE crew?
  25. JC-CT
    Well I spotted Jan 2015 as an "aftermath" analog, while Chris is talking about Jan 2005 as an analog for the next one. Interesting.
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