wxdude64

Was 52.5 at 7 am ob, rain has moved in and currently 49.7/47.8. About 0.15 in gauge so far eyeballing it from the house. 

Feels like a prelude to winter today, just 20 degrees to warm. High was 53.9 about an hour ago, currently 52.5/40.1 with clouds and sprinkles and a NW wind 7 gusting to 13 mph. Mostly cloudy day with sprinkles and light showers, then maybe a 5 minute hint of sun then repeat. Looks like maybe .02 or .03 in the gauge. No record for a 'cool max' though, that belongs to 2009 at 50.5 degrees. 

Pretty decent thundershower rolled thru here about an hour ago, top gust 29 mph from W. About 0.13 in gauge after a 0.03 at 7 am this morning. 

On 10/11/2023 at 11:54 PM, WEATHER53 said:

Was today anniversary of DC area stations earliest snowfall measurements? 

On 10/12/2023 at 6:55 AM, BlizzardNole said:

I believe that's right -- October 10, 1979.  I was in middle school in Calvert County and everyone was stunned seeing 2-3" of snow on the ground and still-green trees.  Can't believe it's been 44 years!

23 hours ago, midatlanticweather said:

It was.. Even in Richmond Virginia it snowed some on October 10, 1979. I remember because it was on my brother's birthday. Crazy! 

8 hours ago, WEATHER53 said:

Dulles had 1.5 and in Beltsville we had 1”

Yep, that event is where my record keeping started, amazing here, close to 10 inches fell. We had no power for 3 days due to all the trees broken off and uprooted across power lines. I think most of the lower (southern) Shenandoah Vally got 4-8 inches with the mountains getting a bit more. Bonus, there was PLENTY of firewood for the next several seasons. 

10 hours ago, Rhino16 said:

The first wooly bear I’ve seen was all black. However, it was dead. Not a good sign. 

Man this is gonna be a harsh winter!!

Currently 38.5/36.9 after a 37.5 low here, but no frost. Do have the fog AGAIN though. 

Happy 44th anniversary to those that remember what happened that overnight/morning. It's what got me started keeping weather records  

Currently 40.4 degrees, temps rose after bottoming out at 37.6 degrees around 3 am. Foggy!! Picked up .14 from the rain yesterday. 

Made it up to 56.4 degrees before the rain moved in a bit over an hour ago, down to 51.5 degrees currently.  Almost a tenth in the gauge. 

On 10/7/2023 at 7:37 AM, Weather Will said:

WB 6Z GFS.  Impressive cold shot in fantasy land if verifies means first freeze in sight N&W. 

LOL, well my average for that date is 64/38 for a 51 normal, a -18 to -19 WOULD be right chilly. 

Low of 38.8 here about 4 am, temp has risen in last couple hours, currently 40.3/36.7.

Seeing a few flakes falling at 'The Shoe in last 5-10 minutes

Snowshoe Mountain Boathouse Webcam in West Virginia - Resort Cams

Snowshoe Mountain Skidder Slope Webcam - Resort Cams

And I'll add this here, didn't see that a thread had been opened. This is from yesterday's trip into WV, this is on Rt 150 (Highland Scenic Hwy) just south of where it crosses Williams river, about 3600-3700 elevation. 

7 hours ago, wxdude64 said:

Took off for Gaudineer Knob and Scenic Area (about 4500 elevation) yesterday up thru Monterey and then back down the Highland Scenic Hwy. Trees were absolutely stunning in places. Above 4K is slightly past peak, 3K to 4K IS peak and below 3K is about a week away. Just a FYI in case anyone thinking of heading that way.

Forgot to add a pic lol

17 hours ago, Roger Smith said:

I would go to central or southeast Utah for good chances of clear skies given the predicted pattern (dry s.e. flow), also note it would be quite early in day in western OR (about 0920 PDT) and closer to 1100h in mountain daylight time zone in Utah. The visual effect would be interesting over areas of colored rocks too. I realize this is an annular eclipse or a "ring of fire" event. Would recommend trying for April 8, 2024 total eclipse after seeing August 2017 event in Oregon. 

We are headed to central TX for the April one. Was just SE of Maryville TN for the last one, awesome event! 

Took off for Gaudineer Knob and Scenic Area (about 4500 elevation) yesterday up thru Monterey and then back down the Highland Scenic Hwy. Trees were absolutely stunning in places. Above 4K is slightly past peak, 3K to 4K IS peak and below 3K is about a week away. Just a FYI in case anyone thinking of heading that way.

Didn't quite make it into 30's, low was 40.8 degrees. Didn't break 60 yesterday with a 59.8 high. Breezy. 

Nice even 0.50 in the gauge this morning! Front must be thru here, NW breezes, pressure is rising and partly cloudy skies now. 52.6/50.0 currently at 7:40 am. 

Second Sept in a row with late report!

Averaged high was 76.4 degrees vs a normal of 76.9 degrees, a -0.5 below normal. Warmest day was the 6th with a 90.9 degree reading. Averaged low was 53.9 degrees vs a normal of 53.7 degrees, a +0.2 above normal. The coolest temp recorded was 46.8 degrees on the 16th. Overall average temp was 65.1 degrees vs a normal of 65.3 degrees, a -0.2 below normal. Total rainfall for month was 2.39 inches vs a normal of 3.55 inches, a -1.16 inches below normal. Wettest day was the 10th with 0.49 inches falling. There were 10 days with measurable, 4 days with a 'T' and 16 dry days. Highest wind recorded was 27 mph on the 10th. No new records, although a couple days were close. The month ended near normal temp wise and below on precip. The month started VERY warm, then from 10th on we ran slightly cooler than average. Records date to Oct 1979.

This is the cloudiest 'mostly sunny' I've seen in a while...

That is a yep on the fog this morning....

Absolutely glorious day out there! Hardly a cloud in the sky now and 73.1/57.3 at 1:40 pm. 

12 hours ago, George BM said:

Forecast Discussion

Tuesday, October 31, 2023 3:45AM EDT

 

The strong arctic front is currently in eastern WV about to enter into western VA. A line of heavy gusty downpours and embedded thunderstorms stretches from NNE to SSW along this front. Temperatures have risen into the lower/mid 70s on strong south to SSE winds ahead of the front. These synoptic winds will continue to gust into the 35-45+ mph range w/ up to 50 mph gusts along the Potomac and Chesapeake shores and mountains to the west gusting into the 50 to 60 mph range with the 70+ kt LL jet overhead. A High Wind Warning for the highest elevations of the Blue Ridge and a Wind Advisory in the metro areas and near the Chesapeake Bay accounts for the wind threat ahead of the front.

The main line will affect far western areas (between the VA/WV border and the Blue Ridge) between 8z and 10z, the Greater Metropolitan region in the 9-12z timeframe and eastern and southern MD eastwards through the rest of the Delmarva in the 11z-15z timeframe. Dewpoints ahead of this line are in the upper 60s to around 70F leading to around 500-1000 J/kg of CAPE. The main threat from the line of storms will be strong winds and perhaps a brief qlcs tornado given the low-level shear. With Pwats in excess of 1.75” there is a slight risk of flash flooding of some streams and low-lying areas, though the progressive nature of the line will prevent a bigger flood threat.

Behind the front temperatures will fall rapidly on strong NNW winds as light/moderate anafrontal rain continues. In fact, temperatures in the metros will fall into the lower 40s by the early afternoon hours w/ upper 30s in the far NW suburbs. At the same time, a potent shortwave trough will have rounded the base of the longwave trough taking on a negative-tilt allowing another wave of low pressure to rapidly deepen along the front in the eastern Carolinas into the Virginia Beach area. This area of low-pressure will travel northeast along the front which will be situated along the Atlantic coastline through the afternoon and evening. As this occurs, more moisture will be thrown northwest into the cold airmass courtesy of the strongly negatively tilted trough increasing precip intensity. By mid-afternoon rain will change over to snow in the mountains with this changeover moving eastwards into the metros by 21-22z as temperatures fall to near freezing. Snowfall rates will be heavy with 1-2”+/hr rates commonplace, perhaps nearing 3”/hr at times in the heaviest bands that form. At the same time, courtesy of the increasing surface pressure gradient, NNW winds may gust over 50 mph at times from late afternoon through the evening. This will lead to low visibilities of under a quarter mile at times. A Winter Storm Warning is currently in place from the mid-afternoon hours into the early overnight hours for the metros with Blizzard warnings along the Blue Ridge and higher elevations. An upgrade to a Blizzard Warning for the majority of the region may very well be needed if current model and realtime trends continue this morning.

Snow should taper off by midnight or 1am at latest with many areas receiving 6-10”+ of snow (locally up to a foot where the heaviest bands set up) with 10”-15”+ amounts in the mountains to the west. Temperatures will bottom out in record territory and hover in the lower/mid 20s through the overnight hours but the strong gusty NW winds will put wind chills in the single digits making for a mid-winter like start to November.

 

Forecaster Wannabe: George BM

Sounds like an enhanced version of Oct 9/10 1979  

1 hour ago, Bob Chill said:

Painted the wheels on the ole Massey. Pretty close to done with the restoration except for mechanical wear parts that haven't failed yet. Diesel motor should be good for another 3k hours b4 rebuild is needed. Everything works including power steering lol.  Massey Ferguson purists will hate the paint job but I'm not a purist and it looks cool to me 

 

 

Super awesome Bob!!

DCA:  +0.9

NYC:  +1.1

BOS:  +1.4

ORD:  +0.9

ATL:  +0.3

IAH:  +1.8

DEN:  +0.7

PHX:  +1.1

SEA:  +1.3