Go Kart Mozart

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I have commented many times on how much growth he has undergone as a poster....

He has regressed in one key area...he no longer points out the strength of the NOGAPS.

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea. Maybe it nets CT an inch....

!!!!!

17 minutes ago, dendrite said:

more convection in the south than modeled

Academic question...how does that help...latent heat release raises heights downstream?

21 minutes ago, Layman said:

It's even simpler than that.  May I introduce "poisonous fog":  https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-14239417/thick-fog-mystery-chemical-smell-reports.html 

Released by drones from the Iranian mother ship, no doubt.

3 minutes ago, cut said:

Was at Tweed yesterday to pick up family from Orlando - their plane did the touch and go but came back in 10 minutes later. It was 4:30 so the winds were just starting. Wife said half the plane was puking.

Do you have to pay extra for the thrill?

It looks like the Newfoundland vort has been kicked about 100 miles east run-to-run.  We need one more of those.  Just one more!

NAM stronger and further north through 84?  I wanted to do no-clown January...but I have already fallen off the wagon.

I know, 2015 isn't walking through the door blah blah blah....but I recall we spent most of January 2015 in a good pattern that just wouldn't produce.  I remember frustration levels at an all-time high.  Is my memory of that wrong?  Always a possibility.

-1.3 at BDR for the month.

15 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

Just got up. We lose the 11th?

 

Yes, at least until 12z.

5 minutes ago, alex said:

Happy New Year from snowy Yellowstone!

Hmm,  the ponds don't even freeze there.  CC.

Holy boomers, good call WeatherWiz!

18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

How fast did Cleveland superbomb in 1978 deepen? I know it got down to about 955mb in Ohio  

 

40mbs in 18 hours.  I was there to enjoy it!

Is this a bit of a squally look for our region?

I love Baja lows.

I only get euro to 144hrs, but man, it looks close to something good on the 6th.  Just a bit more separation between the Cape Race low and the James Bay low would do the trick.

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

i want to start an extended lead -based thread for the 8/9/10 ..11

 

Do it!

1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

like a couple men overlooking each other in nearby stalls at a NJ turnpike rest stop

I am sure we were all thinking the exact same thing.

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yea, no complaints with that follow up look...regardless of how this run ends.

WTF, is that 492?

54 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

 

How do the AI models verify compared to the traditional ones?  Are they any good?

I think OceanState posted a good graphical comparison yesterday.  While not a panacea, they are good beyond four days...much like an ensemble mean.

32 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Here in Southwest CT March of 2018 was our snowiest March of all time although not as much as eastern Mass.

My log shows 20" for March, with another 6.5" on April 2nd.  Do you see something different?  Although the 3/7 event gave me 9" with 2" liquid equivalent.  Tashua Hill in Trumbull, at 600', received 16".  3/13 somewhat similar.

Let the widespread panic begin!

1 hour ago, weathafella said:

wtf is Skynet?  I thought it was a media company. 

Euro AI, lol.  I think CoastalWx gave it that label.

Skynet just outside the BM with a whopper:

9 minutes ago, dendrite said:

When they get old enough for the bark to start to fissure is when the demise usually starts. It gives more openings for the blight to get in. Some of these younger trees with improved resistance develop something called “cruddy bark” now which is the tree battling the fungus and trying to heal over it. It enables them to grow long enough to reach maturity. That’s really the key for bringing the tree back. If they can all live 20-30 years and just be able to reproduce they can slowly try to evolve on their own. 

I have heard that a 10% blend with the Chinese chestnut gives them resistance.  Is that accurate?