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Go Kart Mozart

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Everything posted by Go Kart Mozart

  1. Skynet looking good over the next 15 for all of SNE. Almost all of this is snow.
  2. That looks like a juicy storm coming from the Tennessee Valley, but it looks like it wants to cut....
  3. It will be funny if we (SWCT) have a BN December and January...with 2" to show for it!
  4. Here is my amateurish analysis of what went wrong: On the map below, the wave over Baja was opening up and ready to start its journey eastward, but along comes this bolus of energy diving through the four corners into the open wave. The wave intensifies, closes up, and starts the foot dragging.
  5. Hmm, I would think it will be the reverse...AI will be useful in diagnosing mid and long range patterns, but the physics-based models will do better in the short term, as they are analyzing loads of fresh data....and there is less time for "compounded errors" to mess things up. Some of the early statistical comparisons are indicating that AI is most useful beyond four days. But I agree, it is another tool in the box and not a panacea.
  6. Tip, would a synthesis of AI and Quantum be part of the answer? I would think AI would be able to help with "correctability". But I know very little about this....
  7. GFS getting close to weenie-ish down the road?
  8. If you stepped out of a swimming pool you would feel like it was the arctic!
  9. At 39hrs NAM sending a much stronger piece down through Utah and western CO. Yes, I am desperate.
  10. I am wondering if anyone else experiences this phenomenon: I went to bed last night somewhat on the optimistic side. Overnight, my subconscious mind must have processed the general pattern and tenor, and I woke up this morning absolutely certain that I would see a bunch of bad runs. Like my brain is a super-slow AI machine, lol. Over the years, I have experienced this many times...in both directions...
  11. My feeling has been that the depictions showing the northern stream failing with the cold beef injection are because the NS is not provided with "diving space" by the southern stream. Instead, it is diving into a grinding wheel.
  12. Remember when it comes to ensembles....it's all about clusters and not means. Google "the golden mean fallacy".
  13. That's awesome...can you wheel it up to Woodlawn and do my driveway?
  14. PNA ridge too flat, not gonna work!
  15. Roads are a freaking mess down here. Crews caught with their pants around their ankles.
  16. Nothing ventured, nothing gained. Let's go for it.
  17. Meanwhile, nice steady snow here. Wintery appeal!
  18. Yes, you mean the piece that comes over the top and gives it the cold beef injection from Manitoba?
  19. Very light snow in Trumbull...feels like Pound Town these days!
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