IWXwx
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Posts posted by IWXwx
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59 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said:
Sooooooo I was promised a pattern flip following this miserably frigid start to March. Now I'm hearing in the SE forum that it's supposed to stay cold the rest of the month? What devilment is this?
If you can suffer through March the CFS says the eastern half of the country will be an inferno and it's never wrong.
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3 hours ago, snowstormcanuck said:
lol, I was going to ask the same thing. Maybe he's a warminista.
With a name like Torchageddon, there's not much doubt
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30 minutes ago, Baum said:
^
schools here now have the students complete a "snow days" work online. I have to give someone credit cause now they've ooked up snow days.
Our school district scheduled the last two weeks of March as Spring break with the first week being Snow day makeups. They burned through them in no time and have had no school an additional six days. However, rather than tacking on extra days in the summer, they have what they call "e-learning days". They do online assignments and the parents are expected to home school them. To me it's cop-out to get their minimum legally required classroom days fulfilled. I have several teacher friends but I still don't agree because they are not true "classroom" days.
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1 hour ago, bowtie` said:
Had a small V of sandhill cranes honking the way back north today. A sure sign that Spring is soon on the way.
Yep. Saw some yesterday up here. I know when I hear them that spring isn't far off. My brother also saw a robin today.
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23 minutes ago, Hoosier said:
Would be curious to know how many of those were convective gusts and how many were synoptic.
Good point.
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Sam Lashley at IWX had to do some digging, but he posted some numbers that point out how anomalous the wind event was for FWA. Between 1/1/1948 and 2/24/2019, 54 observations have reported a wind gust of 50 knots or greater. Of the 54, 16 occurred on the 24th (30%). That's out of 905,000 observations.
The highest reading yesterday was 56 knots.
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Will, it looks like you're running out of places to put it
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I'm guessing that there's nothing wrong with IND's ASOS. It's just not used to 57KT wind gusts
INDIANAPOLIS,IN (IND) ASOS (Caution: Maintenance Check Indicator) reports gust of 57.0 knots from W @ 1204Z KIND 241244Z 26031G42KT 10SM SCT027 OVC033 03/M02 A2960 RMK AO2 PK WND 26057/1204 RAB20E34 P0000 T00281017 $
The GUS ASOS is showing the the same maintenance caution with a 63 MPH gust.
Other than that, the highest gusts I've seen reported in Indiana are 64 MPH at GSH, 63 MPH at GYY, and several in the 58-62 MPH range.
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Here is what I posted to our EMA Facebook page for our area:
The weather will be a sloppy mess from 3 AM through Noon tomorrow in Huntington County. The timeline is what the consensus of weather models depicts for precipitation. We will see:
• Snow – around 2”
• Sleet – A trace
• Freezing rain – 0.10” – 0.15”
• Rain – 0.10”The exact times of the transitions are an estimation and any deviation in those times will affect exact amounts. However, it is safe to say that we will receive the gamut of precipitation types. Give yourself extra time during the morning commute.
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2 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:
Based on CoCoRaHs reports, looks I like ended up with 5-6” at home with this event.
ORD finished with 4.3”
.A little more now.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 122 PM CST MON FEB 18 2019 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 1200 PM SNOW OHARE AIRPORT 41.98N 87.90W 02/18/2019 M4.9 INCH COOK IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL. 0.6 INCHES SINCE 6AM. -
1 hour ago, Jackstraw said:
1 inch of crappola here. You're fired lol.
Bust up here. I was expecting 1-2" to whiten things up. However, I'm stuck with fzdz. That has been the default result here on at least 3 weather systems this winter. Just enough ice to send cars plowing into each other and into ditches.
EDIT: If the NAM temperature profile verifies, more of that crap Wednesday.
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11 minutes ago, The_Doctor said:
06z FV3 drops ~20" in like 12 hours across northern Illinois about a week from now. If this replaces the normal GFS...
Good to see that we are trying to make improvements on the American model
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46 minutes ago, Jackstraw said:
Explains my bit of sunshine this morning...
We actually had snow flurries/ice crystals reach the ground from that this morning that I reported to NWS. The source appears to be a large steel mill in the area where the clearing originated. With the sun from the partial clearing reflecting off of the ice crystals, it gave off an eerie shimmering glow.
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14 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:
The OP FV3 will be run 4 times a day, exactly like the current OP GFS. The main change is that the OP FV3 will be run at 13km for the entire 384hr run, where the current OP GFS is 13km to 240hr and then 27km from 240-384hr.
The FV3 will also have a 3km nest run at 0z/12z out to 120hrs, which will replace the NAM eventually.
I don't check the other subforums, but I would bet that this issue has been a hot topic over there. I just read an article from the Washington Post and it sounds like everyone else has the same opinion as the majority here have concerning our new Euro wannabe.
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3 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:
Can't wait for the FV to replace the GFS and NAM.
Gonna be fun times.
With all of the time and effort put into the model to keep up with the Joneses, its test run has been a sad exhibition. Long live The King. And for me, it's too early to grade the winter yet, as I consider March 15th the drop dead date at this latitude, so it has 4 more weeks to redeem itself.
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1-2" predicted here and we're approaching an inch. Like Jack said, too bad it's not going to stick around.
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Only 1039 down here
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A true kitchen sink forecast:This AfternoonSunny, with a high near 25. Calm wind.TonightMostly clear, with a low around 15. East wind around 5 mph.SundaySnow, mainly after 2pm. High near 30. East wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.Sunday NightSnow before 10pm, then a chance of snow and freezing rain. Low around 25. East wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.MondayA chance of snow and freezing rain before 10am, then snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 34. East wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.Monday NightSnow and freezing rain likely before 9pm, then freezing rain likely between 9pm and 10pm, then rain after 10pm. Low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.TuesdayRain, mainly before 2pm. High near 43. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 100%.Tuesday NightA chance of rain before 8pm, then rain and snow likely between 8pm and 10pm, then snow likely after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 60%.WednesdayA 30 percent chance of snow before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 35. Breezy.Wednesday NightMostly cloudy, with a low around 24.ThursdayA 50 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41.Thursday NightRain and snow. Low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 90%.FridayRain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41.
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Last night went from 55 to 25 like it saw a state trooper
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Weather for Central Indiana for the next 24 hours:
Fog
Heavy Rain/Flash/areal flooding
Thunderstorms/tornadoes
Straight line winds to 40 and stronger in storms
Temps plummet/flash freeze 60's to the teens in 12hrs
Sub-zero wind chills
Snow flurries
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.....And a third warning. 65 MPH in a QLCS. That would be fun to try see/chase/keep up with.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN 1237 PM EST THU FEB 7 2019 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA... SOUTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA... NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA... * UNTIL 100 PM EST. * AT 1237 PM EST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED 13 MILES EAST OF BLOOMFIELD, OR 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF BEDFORD, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.
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Might have been something going down in Gibson County three scans before the warning.
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No confirmed structural damage on the Vincennes, but reports of high tension lines down and a semi overturned
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Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1118 AM CST THU FEB 7 2019The National Weather Service in Paducah has issued a
* Tornado Warning for...
East central Gibson County in southwestern Indiana...
Pike County in southwestern Indiana...* Until 1145 AM CST.
* At 1118 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
tornado was located near Winslow, or near Oakland City, moving
northeast at 55 mph.
Winter 2018-19 Grade Thread
in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Posted
C- here.
Sitting at 27" now (normal 34")
Positives- Record cold, one 5" snow and one 6" snow
Negatives- temperature swings which hurt snowpack duration, snowless stretch December-mid-January, below normal seasonal snowfall
I agree with Josh that it's a little too early to make a final grade, but with what the forecast currently depicts, even a late-season storm would only bump it up to a straight C.