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AmericanWxFreak

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Everything posted by AmericanWxFreak

  1. storms either way, will get uglier with sun
  2. wow - thats impressive in the middle of June let alone Halloween!
  3. So I am returning from my post severe season weather hiatus and I am too lazy to read back a couple of weeks. Where do we stand on first quarter of winter at this stage? Most feeling bullish or bearish?
  4. HRRR pretty consistent with this large cell pushing through the middle of the state
  5. Looks like a boundary lifting north from the cells near Manasass - could that help trigger something locally?
  6. I did find him lol it happened in the lamest way possible since it is our local subreddit for Columbia MD but still, it was pretty funny
  7. SLGT isn't really even close anymore on the new day 1. Meh.
  8. Fair amount of tree damage in Columbia again. I can't remember a stretch of severe like this in a VERY long time.
  9. SLGT remains. 2% tor for the norther tier counties and then 15/15 for the rest of us. Also a day 4 15% popped up for us.
  10. The tree damage is pretty abnormal looking. Not sure where this was taken but it's hard to conclude what was happening in front of him from this video.
  11. Feels pretty tame out there, I'm not thinking we have any juice left to support a round 2 :/
  12. are you asking me? if so, it is near the Howard County Dept of Corrections looking back towards Rt 1 in Jessup
  13. can't afford to be without practice until next winter, gotta keep the legs warm
  14. New SPC Day 1 moved teh 5% tor risk into mostly SPA and NJ with NEMD included as well. They also yanked the 15% hail completely - now 5%. HRRR seems pretty meh now too. Im out.
  15. Related 40-50+ kt of effective bulk shear will act to organize thunderstorms, and there is increasing concern that convection will grow upscale into a QLCS along/near the I-95 corridor in northern VA, MD, and eastern PA. Damaging winds would be the main threat if this mainly linear mode develops, although isolated large hail may occur with more discrete initial development. The potential for a tornado or two may also exist, mainly across eastern PA into NJ where low-level flow will be slightly more backed to southerly/southeasterly in the vicinity of a marine front.
  16. 15z HRRR still insistent upon the first cluster being a direct hit to DC and surrounding burbs in a few hours.
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