nycwinter

2 days in a row of heavy thunderstorms hitting nyc i did not expect that

this will be the last heat wave for nyc..finally nothing but delightful weather after that..

so far .70 of rain in central park

16 minutes ago, Rjay said:

Except every meteorologist in the area said there's a chance of storms.  

very small chance of a shower my local mets on tv not the thunderstorm we got

no one predicted the heavy thunderstorm we have had in the city for almost a hour

misty chilly right now in the city does not feel like summer.

8 hours ago, bdgwx said:

If 8/6 ends up being the minimum that would be epic indeed.

i remeber as a kid when you would come home from school and temps in september on one day were in the 50's in nyc due to a strong cold front...

1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

be sure to take 5 degrees off the heat index next week due to the sun angle 

we lose 5 degrees in temp from august first to august 31..

the worst of summer is over in nyc..i been enjoying these nice low dew point days..

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

It will be interesting to see if this influences the fall into winter pattern.

 

i'm more impressed with 13 days in a row of temps 86 or above  in sapporo then the few days in a row  over over 100 in seattle..

2 hours ago, dmillz25 said:

Feel amazing out right now

are you talking about the yanks or the weather?

maybe early september not late  september

1 hour ago, JustinRP37 said:

This is the first summer of my life I can’t wait to end. This pattern has to break at some point. Dreary weather in the midst of summer is brutal. I really feel for seasonal businesses this year, especially after a tough 2020. 

it feels like this summer has been here for months due to the heat waves.. and it is still july..

looks like we won't break the all time record for rain in the month of july in central park a shame..

26 minutes ago, bluewave said:

I believe this is our first two consecutive Julys with 10.00”+ at any of our major stations. Hard to know if this has happened before at the smaller PWS or coop sites. But the strong subtropical flavor continues with very wet and high dew point regimes of recent summers.

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Total Precipitation	Missing Count
1	1889	11.89	0
2	1975	11.77	0
3	2021	10.48	4

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Rank	Year	Total Precipitation	Missing Count
1	2020	11.22	0
2	1988	9.98	0
3	1984	8.65	0
4	2004	8.39	0
5	2021	8.30	4

 the record is within reach for central park ..

41 minutes ago, doncat said:

Little surprised with the 0.52" since midnight.

i'm not i was watching the nws radar last night ...

gusty winds in the city

Just now, Rjay said:

Why

by aug 6 we have already have lost 1 hour of daylight from jun 21.. and the sun angle is decreasing...i feel the worst part of  the summer heat is behind us...

3 hours ago, forkyfork said:

here you go

very unlikely this would verify...

16 minutes ago, Windspeed said:

Geography does play a major role. Most TCs that strike Texas develop out of the WCARIB and must deal with land interaction of the Yucatán. This limits organizational/developmental time before RI can top out maximum potential energy. I am sure VWS relationship with dry continental airmass does play a role on occasion. However, typically westward vector is supported by easterly mid-level steering flow across the GOM. That should supercede dry airmass ever so often with these TCs. There have been some close calls however in documented history and almost certainly there have been many 155+ mph landfalls pre-colonialization. I'd wager Harvey would have attained Category 5 had it had more time over the GOM. Its structure was absurd well into post-landfall. The shallow shelf is sometimes plenty deep enough with 28°+C SSTs to support a Category 5 that is moving at a favorable rate of motion.

To the point, though we have not seen a Cat 5 strike Texas, it will eventually happen again whether we as humans are still around to witness it.

katrina rita were cat 5 in the gulf

seeing cloud to cloud  dim lightning in the city from storms far away

back to very humid conditions today.. i had forgotten what it felt like..

when was the last time nyc had 4 days in a row in july with dew points that were in the 50's

42 minutes ago, NutleyBlizzard said:

I remember seeing an interesting program on tv a couple of years back on global warming. As the earth continues to warm there will come a point where too much fresh water from the melting northern polar cap will mix into the Atlantic thus shutting down the currents and triggering an ice age in the northern half of North America that could last for hundreds of years. So you’re half right. Different cause but in the end the same result.

 

 

 

 

 

i don't worry about the far future since i wont be around to enjoy it..

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Considering we're already seeing horrible effects of climate change and there's no major meteor threat for decades I would focus on the former. 

Massive western droughts causing water shortages (Lake Mead), major flooding (land & coastal).

People & animals are literally cooking in the Pacific NW, massive wildfires giving us smokey skies 1000s of miles away, increased tropical threats, etc. 

All this from about a 1.2C increase since start of industrial age. Imagine a 2C-2.5C increase that's very likely by the 2030s.

eventually the tilt of the earth will change and earth will enter another ice age it will happen