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weathafella

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  1. weathafella
    Good thoughts. I may be reacting emotionally to the distribution and it’s definitely a quick take without any of the deeper questions you raise.
  2. weathafella
    Fair enough. My interpretation is entirely based on the premise of a robust east based nino-no other analysis and admittedly not considering mitigating factors. 20 years ago I would deep dive this stuff but I no longer have the patience. With that said, I want those ssta anomalies to shuffle or I will be rather pessimistic regarding winter here.
  3. weathafella
    Ray, the SSTA maps are exactly what I said. The post from me that you quoted stated much better look December to February but my assertion is that’s too late although it could allow for a late blooming winter but not enough time to make up snowfall deficit. September through November looks similar to now:
  4. weathafella
    It sucks for us September through November with a much better look December through February. It would argue for a late blooming winter with lower than normal snow given lag. December through February would probably suck. And that’s if it’s right. I’m not making any predictions-yet. But if it looks like the current picture in September imho we’re screwed.
  5. weathafella
    It will be done by daybreak tomorrow…
  6. weathafella
    I actually live on a slope but a French drain ftw diverting the water down to the bottom of the hill away from the house.
  7. weathafella
    I can’t remember a warmer rain. I walked outside and it felt like shower water coming down.
  8. weathafella
    Another week-not much change. 3.4 probably never gets to low strong at most but man that east basis spooks me!
  9. weathafella
    Can this hold up another hour or 2?
  10. weathafella
    Great trip! We’ll be there in early autumn which should be warm but tolerable which will include a week in Rome, 3 days on the Amalfi coast, and a week in Sicily.
  11. weathafella
    I was a freshman in college in upstate NY for the blizzard of ‘66. Absolutely crushed with close to 3 feet!
  12. weathafella
    I’d take 1965-66 in a heartbeat.
  13. weathafella
    That seems late. Almost like instant pattern behavior.
  14. weathafella
    Maybe random but 1997 matches up well with this July. In fact this year looks worse globally.
  15. weathafella
    At what point is it too late? I always thought it’s about a 3 month lag pattern wise. Like we agree, it looks bad now but let’s see where we are in autumn.
  16. weathafella
    Overall warm and humid with minor breaks for the foreseeable future. The thing is-when dews drop a bit the temperatures are able to more easily elevate. Pretty stable pattern and burgeoning WAR injected into the mix throws fuel info it. Dangerous summer for many but so far mainly the southern half of NOAM.
  17. weathafella
    Pouring. No flood threat here though. Hopefully Vermont is still here tomorrow-it’s a lovely place and we’d hate to lose it….
  18. weathafella
    You remember the snows!
  19. weathafella
    That’s why I’m waiting. But as of now I’m concerned. As an aside, we had a great snow dump in the first week of December 1957. My 11th bday party was a mid week lunch (kids went home for lunch then) with darkening skies and temperatures around 40. 13.3 inches later….
  20. weathafella
    People are deluding themselves if they think the ssta distribution is not worrisome now. It could change of course but by September we’re almost out of time so it better be fast.
  21. weathafella
    Another warm humid day. Dews drop but temperatures rise beyond Monday this week. Good luck Vermont!
  22. weathafella
    It’s not getting any better. Still a month or 2 before I issue a full ratter call.
  23. weathafella
    WAR usually really flexes towards late July/August. Seems a bit early. I’m wondering how hot it can get? Back to the ORH dew discussion yesterday-it DID feel less humid but hot yesterday in Worcester when I was there. Today I’m at 84/72 while 9 miles ne at BOS it’s 75/72.
  24. weathafella
    Long and fast walk. Sweat pouring. Shower and fresh undies for sleep for sure and thank goodness for central a/c!
  25. weathafella
    Perfect weather in my view. We walked mid day around Scranton, PA and then drove back to Boston. Waze routed us up the thruway via the pike’s west extension south of Albany. Anything to avoid the insane traffic west of Hartford! Several little pop up storms. In clear air car read upper 80s to 90 even at 1500k. Soft mid summer night-time for a walk.
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