Radders

21.7/5 in Milford PA

19 minutes ago, wdrag said:

First tenth of an inch in Wantage as sleet has changed to snow. Pavement getting slimy and very slippery on wood. 34F. ground white. 

Very similar readings just west of you in Milford PA.  

4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Numerous new highest low temperatures for the month of July across the region.

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul
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Rank	Year	Lowest Min Temperature	Missing Count
1	2020	67	1
2	2019	66	0
-	1994	66	0
-	1993	66	0

 

Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY - Month of Jul
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Rank	Year	Lowest Min Temperature	Missing Count
1	2020	63	1
2	2019	61	0
-	2012	61	0

 

Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of Jul
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Rank	Year	Lowest Min Temperature	Missing Count
1	2020	67	1
2	2008	66	0

 

Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul
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Rank	Year	Lowest Min Temperature	Missing Count
1	2020	68	1
-	2008	68	0
2	2019	67	0
-	1994	67	0

 

Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul
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Rank	Year	Lowest Min Temperature	Missing Count
1	2016	66	0
2	2020	65	1
-	2019	65	0
-	2015	65	0
-	1970	65	0

 

Time Series Summary for FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP, NY - Month of Jul
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Rank	Year	Lowest Min Temperature	Missing Count
1	2020	67	1
2	2019	64	0

 

Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY - Month of Jul
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Rank	Year	Lowest Min Temperature	Missing Count
1	2019	64	0
2	2020	63	1
-	1994	63	0

 

Time Series Summary for IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT, CT - Month of Jul
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Rank	Year	Lowest Min Temperature	Missing Count
1	2020	64	1
-	2019	64	0
-	1994	64	0

 

Time Series Summary for MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP, NY - Month of Jul
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Rank	Year	Lowest Min Temperature	Missing Count
1	2020	57	2
2	2019	54	1
-	2013	54	0
-	2012	54	9

 

Time Series Summary for New Brunswick Area, NJ (ThreadEx) - Month of Jul
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Rank	Year	Lowest Min Temperature	Missing Count
1	2020	63	0
2	2019	60	0
-	1931	60	0
-	1897	60	0

 

Time Series Summary for SUSSEX AIRPORT, NJ - Month of Jul
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Rank	Year	Lowest Min Temperature	Missing Count
1	2020	58	1
2	2019	54	0

 

Time Series Summary for PHILADELPHIA INTL AP, PA - Month of Jul
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Rank	Year	Lowest Min Temperature	Missing Count
1	2020	67	1
2	2011	66	0
-	1994	66	0
-	1993	66	0

Those rural airport (Sussex and Orange) lowest minimums are impressive.

Looks like the park hit 90 between the hourly obs.  Currently 87/72

10 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Anyone who believed the 86 degree dewpoints hasnt been at this long. 

Yeah - unlikely, but could see the usual coastal spots like KJFK beating the guidance by a couple of degrees.  

2 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Is it showing any of those mid 80s dews it had the other day?  I haven’t had a chance to look yet. 

Looking at the smoothed out SV images, it looks like it has backed off on the expansiveness of 80+ DPs a little, but still showing pockets of the 80s shade.  Seems like high 70s DPs area wide are becoming increasingly likely..

1 minute ago, Gravity Wave said:

The 6z GFS is a lot less aggressive with dews, low to mid 70s across the area. The 6z also cuts the worst heat off after Saturday, I'm interested to see if that becomes a trend or if its just a blip.

I have been looking at DP forecasts over the last week or so and have noticed that the GFS in general seems to go less aggressive vs. the Euro.  Is this a known GFS or Euro bias?

Light snow changing to heavy snow with huge flakes within two minutes with 2/10 tenths of a mile visibility on I87 from Suffern on east in Rockland. Roads are covered. So much for this thing starting late afternoon/evening.

I can see the sun here!!! lol

I had a bad feeling about getting screwed on this storm even though i called for 6" - I think i could bust here and it might never get further north than southern Putnam. We will see.

It just amazes me that the same areas of NJ are getting hit again and again... What a winter for them down there.. At some point, this pattern HAS to change to something more climatologically normal.. These sharp cut-offs are really miserable when you are on the wrong side of them.. We are doing much better than last year at this point, but I really feel for the folks in PA who just can't catch a break.

Here is my best guess for this upcoming storm as far as accumulations go for E NYS. I also included an educated hypothesis for 5 selected cities from the Upper HV down to NYC. May or may not update this pending 0z runs Tonight...

Thanks for the input... This looks very reasonable based on where things stand.. I am personally thinking 6" is a good forecast for the SE areas of the NWS Albany forecast area.

We still have a shot, we are real close to cashing in. Dr No in a few minutes....

Euro says no, this new season is not coming this fall.

I would say about 3" here.. Anxiously awaiting the Euro... i am feeling FRINGED!!! lol

Just got back from driving to KSWF to drop a friend off for a flight... What a disaster an unexpected 2 inches can have on the roads - A few spin-outs on I84.

~2 inches here and still snowing light to moderate.

Considering we may get shafted with the best stuff to our south tomorrow, I will take it!

Radders where are you...lol I hear the Euro is a thing of beauty for the area.. >1.5" of qpf... Can you confirm?

Better late than never ,but yes, I can confirm this..

-12F here.

9* here.. Apparently there is a wind shift boundary running down the Hudson.. Once the boundary moves through (next hour or so), and the wind switches from NW to NE, then the temps will start to drop quickly.

I see what ya did there

My brain is clearly not working properly this morning!

Yea I hear you. Heavy QPF sounds like mixing may be an issue. No mixing then light QPF. What do you make of the 12Z NAM?

NAM looks like it might hit us lightly to moderately, but I just can't look at that model with any seriousness beyond like 60 hours!! The GFS looked better than it's 6Z run, but the energy swinging across the great lakes is still pushing the trajectory to our east too much.

Right now, I am kind of taking the op runs with a pinch of salt and hugging the ensembles... With this many options on the table, and this much complexity, the ens are the only way to try and make sense of this IMO.

I don't know exactly what I got down to last night but the local high school made it to 3*. When I drove by there last night on the way home it was 10 and when I got home it was 6 so "extrapolated" I'm guessing I got to about -1

So, what's the current thinking for Wednesday? I like the map DT put up that has the lower HV in 12+

I really don't know what to think about Wednesday's event... I think we see some snow, but I have a feeling that we are going to get fringed.. I like the Euro and it's ensembles last night, but I don't know if I buy it yet.. I will be watching the 12Z guidance closely.

I think it got to -8 at the airport (KPOU), haven't checked what my weather station got down to yet, but currently it shows -2F right now

<br />Anybody else have a fresh coating of snow hiding the black ice this morning? Should be a fun ride...<br />

Yes. Nasty drive to the train station this morning.

Hangin' tough at 21* Trees are starting to get glazed now so I'm assuming it's mixed sleet and freezing rain. My wifes boss told her that if she doesn't make it in by 10 yesterday was her last day at that job but that he would be working from home. I think I may have to head to his house and "explain" to him how rotten his attitude is

That is awful..

Well i have 2.5 inches of snow/sleet/ice since this event started... Perhaps I make it to 3, but overall, not a very overwhelming event. 24F IMBY.

-2.5 IMBY this morning...

-4 at KPOU

Heat wave here 9.1. Forcast low is 8, think I'll beat that soon.

have you beaten it yet? 6.5 here.

Already down to 9F! Could get really cold tonight before the clouds from the clipper move in...