WEATHER53

1 minute ago, paulythegun said:

With the purple moving ene and over here 

Don’t know why but in all my  model watching and with a southern based low, Miller A, the 5 day is what I have found works best. It seems to me that 5 day gives a broad, binocular like assessment and then the 2,3,4 day  gets microscopic like and jumps all over the place.

9 minutes ago, Scud said:

12Euro keeps precip south, can't overcome dry tongue.....

That would have to be like a 30.50 departing high to be that dry so not concerned 

It’s not easy to snow here. Gotta have the high generally inwestern ny state and the low moving from around Atlanta and northeast. Then we are in the game. Much different and it does not work 

Just now, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

That can still change.

I see the thinking is the cold air will be stale. Studying the Synoptics and evolution and analogs it’s my assessment the cold air will be more moving in than moving off 

Expect suppression to show up because high is stout and moving in instead of already locked in or moving off.  The origin of the low, tx/la gulf coast is utter perfection and see how it plays out as it moves ne and into cold air 

1 hour ago, yoda said:

00z GFS at 180 has SLP in NE LA/S MS with a sprawling HP across MN/IA/WI

186 SLP in S AL

Just getting here and first thing I read is what I love to see..High cold will be really fresh. Low looks like it want to go over Atlanta. Rest of it can be great watching 

Hi

On 11/27/2018 at 3:30 PM, wxdude64 said:

Wonderful day. Just back in from walking/hiking Bear Loop up near airport. Low/mid 20's with clouds and flurries and W/WNW winds at 20+ gusting to 40 mph. WC's in single digits

Jebman II. ??

Just now, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

What's RNA?

Required Negative Attitude 

I think low pressure patterns are showing their hand. Mostly  lake cutters, a few phase jobs that never work anyway, infrequent well placed coastal. This is why I do not see the big snow season for DC area. 

Not going to get much evapirational but still 2 degrees I think so if onset in by 7am that’s going to be 29-31 for a lot of the area.

12:30pm Thanksgiving day and high of 34

Santee came  to Macy’s and I saw him and Turkey in the oven and Holiday Winter season is officially underway!!!!

DCA:16.5

BWI:21.2

IAD:22.1

Ric:14.7

SBY:16.8

The area that was in western Kentucky mid afternoon is steadily moving ene and expanding. I think we go nw and skies may even partially clear before that moves thru in early morning hours.

See that comma head in western KY?

its moving ene while main mass has more northward move. If we can get that on or just under us tonight it would be interesting 

2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Ok, now I'm fully dead.

I'm back in the afterlife.  

Hmmm

i wonder if...

oh, never mind 

TV Mets were really bad at 11pm last night. Seemed lazy and fixed on “too early in season” aspect of it.

Look at that stringy  “elephants trunk” way out west on the National radar

also, DC area just had a .1-.15 baro drop in  last hour 

Past max sun now. Let’s see if that changes anything 

14 minutes ago, Herb@MAWS said:

 1:00pm:  32.0  Mostly rain and sleet; breezes have noticably picked up.
11:30am:  31.1  Steady snow, small flakes, no sleet.
10:15am:  30.8  Snow mixed with some sleet. About 1" but still see grass green spots.
 9:15am:   30.6  Mod sleet mixed with a little snow. Main roads wet and slick w/ a little slush.  Side streets and grass have whitened.
 8:15am:  Changeover complete to all-snow, some moderate.
 7:30am:  32.8  snow, some sleet -- deck, mulch and cartops whitened.
 6:15am:  33.8  sleet w/a bit of rain mixed in.
 6:00am:  34, lite rain began.
 5:45am:  34 and Overcast.

Good stuff. Thanks.

Just now, Tenman Johnson said:

Very wet snow about 50%

Now 75% and windy 

Very wet snow about 50%

2 hours ago, Ji said:

i should of called 3-5 inches yesterday like my gut told me too. I chickened out haha

Shared that we would have Obs to make! looking forward to a solid season!

2.2” before changeover

30.4 lowest and currently 32.6

good event. Great dews and stout high trump  time of year .