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WEATHER53

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Everything posted by WEATHER53

  1. 42.5 for the high and currently 32
  2. I’m realizing just now that those 20” outcomes never had more than a 3.3% chance of being realized because they were never 30 that change every 6 hours.
  3. Any if you want any share contributions that’s possible. Don’t want it too elaborate with a whole bunch of attorney stuff necessary . its a great idea but involves some details to make it right
  4. It’s hard thing to manage and run but if 10 or so of us put the money in then we could get a place.
  5. We stayed in Pulaski and they did great
  6. I get a pied piper feeling all over again
  7. Low of 23 with min wind chill of 9 and current temp of 28
  8. Yes from 7-11am with one inch expected. One inch smashed down at 20F is instant glare ice . 2 isn’t because more granular
  9. I cannot fathom how anyone would pay to be misinformed so frequently
  10. Another batch here in about 30 mins and had a car topper that just ended and temp dropped from 24 to 22 during snow
  11. Models right now working on figuring out if 44 and rain or 27 and snow or 22 and cloudy . The last week has been laughable. Compulsive response disorder will follow this post
  12. Low of 19 and currently a cold 24.
  13. Keep watching. Precip now nearing Lexington KY
  14. This is really cold again with 22 and breezes still up
  15. 31.2 here at 6pm after a high of 32.8
  16. It’s just too hard for them to produce anything useful more than 30% of the time in snow situations. What they provide though is very exciting and even addictive
  17. Yes Land breeze at both with DCA only real developed mass solely to west and that’s non industrial Crystal City . Annapolis actually should be 2-3 degrees milder than DCA but it’s Always lower
  18. DCA an embarrassment again 7 degrees warmer than Big Bay Body of water Annapolis and 5 higher than very close by Andrews.
  19. Watching the radar show good northeast move on precip until about Arkansas and then more due east . 30.30 baro in DC not historically suppressive
  20. So hurricanes dont have elements too difficult to handle , They can’t even steer themselves yet their landings and intensities are nearly perfectly predicted . If winter storms are just too much to handle then maybe accept that or implement a more effective time frame like 3-4 days out only.
  21. One method of improvement would be to shorten the time frame length of prediction The wind events we’ve had twice in last two weeks were perfectly handled because nothing was said until 3 days in advance. The most recent models failure began about 10 days ago with an impulse traversing the nation and supposedly setting off low pressure down south that comes up here. Too speculative that’s DC would get a bomb based on 7/8 days of required perfection as that impulse traverses the nation. Models can’t perform in mid Atlantic for wintry precip that far out and in those circumstances . So cut it out. For some reason NHC does not have such problems. Excuses are that it’s just all too complex. So just eliminate what can’t be done accurately and don’t latch onto impulse Before they even come ashore out west . Wait until 3/4 days out and something is actually existing on this half side of the country
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