jm1220

2 hours ago, vegan_edible said:

just got back from 9 days in southern california. i think i have to move back. 4 marginal snow events and this crap weather is not worth the cost of living here

This Nina regime favors them for snow anyway. Just drive an hour or so up to the mountains when the rampaging Pacific jet storms come in. 

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Pretty typical for April. We won't break out of this for at least a month

At which point we go right to summer. Might actually be a decent enough stretch coming up starting on Sat for a few days before the next back door gunk. 

24 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Awful 

And right on cue. We get teased with the warmth and the back door/drizzle garbage surges right in. 

1 hour ago, ILoveWinter said:

Cloudy and a high of 50 today, 56 in Philly and sunny and 80 in DC, heck of a back door!

From magnificent to misery. Also I doubt it hits 50. 

Sad we have to play the volcano Hail Mary for next winter already.  

What have we come to? 

13 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Something unusual is going on with the the TPV. It’s becoming consolidated and very strong for late April. The forecast is for it to  approach record low 500mb heights for late April levels near Hudson Bay next week. All the guidance splits a piece off and it heads for Maine day 6-10. If this scenario verifies, interior portions of the Northeast could face a hard freeze. 

 

Maddening how in this perma-Nina regime this keeps happening in mid-April and not Feb when it’s wanted. 

31 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It will be interesting to see if Newark can maintain a high only in the 40s tomorrow. It would be one of the more impressive 48-72 hr afternoon temperature drops during the month of April if they can pull it off. The last 80s to 40s in the afternoon in April over a few days was back in 2018. 
 

 

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=169&network=NJ_ASOS&zstation=EWR&v=tmpf&hours=72&month=apr&dir=cool&how=exact&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png

Here comes the gunk.  

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

SNE snowstorm on the GFS in weenie range lol

Time to start the thread? 

72 here. Perfect. 

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Like clockwork 

It's amazing 

We need to get back to those winters

It’s the West/Plains turn for bonanza winters now. That’ll continue as long as we have this Pacific SST orientation. It’s about as hostile as it gets for us. 

10 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Too bad we could get such a strong -EPO pattern which is forecast to coincide with the cooler backdoor this week when we needed it during the winter.  All the best -EPOs since 13-14 and 14-15 have occurred during other seasons than the winter. Those were the last winters with wall to wall -EPO patterns. 

 

 

 

 

Yup of course right when it’s not wanted which just sends in maritime puke from the east instead of the west. Right on cue for the last few years. Last year or the year before it was I think 2 weeks straight of some type of easterly winds. 

1 hour ago, Rjay said:

Got to 79 before the seabreeze.   Still 70 though.  

Yup, was a pretty weak sauce seabreeze. Usually it drops fast and we get the full blown Ambrose Jet this time of year. 

2 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Thursday is going to feel like an icebox after this.  GFS, CMC and Euro in the 40s.  

We never stay warm for long during back door season.  Enjoy today and tomorrow before 4 more days of nasty drizzle. 

81. 

A few 80s in central Nassau and Queens. Sea breeze on radar looks like it’s around the Southern State. As you’d expect way cooler on the barrier islands. Absolutely perfect here-77. 

Many/most will be in the 80s today. Already a lot of stations in the low 70s. We’re in the time of year when models underestimate the warmth on days like this in a warm pattern and no strong onshore flow. Break out the shorts. 

1 minute ago, SRRTA22 said:

Lol I know the pain...these mcs's almost always shrivel into a shower before reaching Hudson county.. Jersey City is the Richmond,va of thunderstorms haha

I'm perfectly fine letting someone else get soaked. But we're near that time of the year where T-storms go to die east of the Hudson. At least they're usually quick deaths. 

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

 

Been a stretch of awesome snow winters for Alaska and much of the West which will likely continue as long as this perma-Nina and -PDO stays. This “winter” was another Nina in functionality for much of it just added with the juiced Nino southern jet. And next probably “winter” will probably be officially a strong Nina. 

20 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Don’t forget the wind storms. Every week we get howling winds as well. Awful 

Yesterday I noticed a nice ding in a neighbor down the street's metal fence and a huge tree branch next to it. So many wind storms I have no idea which one did it. 

Horrible, just wretched day. As 1000x others pointed out. 

16 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Looks like another shot at 80 next Tuesday before we back door the rest of the week 

Here comes back door season. Hopefully we don’t have stretches of it into June. 

3 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Yeah I read that article too.  Summers there would be brutal honestly.    Even when I've been in mid April the sun beating down is tough.

I was just in the PBI area. Still a huge amount of new construction and influx of residents, however many are on their way back up here after Easter. The Space Coast/Tampa are the biggest areas for incoming residents. The area from PBI to Miami is unfortunately way overdue for a major hurricane. 

I’m in Long Beach, just felt it too. Must have been an earthquake too-holy…. 

8 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, also looks like higher dewpoints again with more onshore flow with the continuation of high pressure to our north and northeast especially as the summer goes on. 
 

 

 

I don’t find it any better that now we’re regularly 93 with dew points 75 or over vs more hot but lower dew point. 

10 minutes ago, Dan76 said:

Just looking up the Mineloa coop they had 4 days in a row over 100 in 2010

It can be as hot on LI or even hotter on W wind days in the summer because of downsloping and compressional heating (the area just north of where the onshore and offshore winds meet) near the sea breeze front. That’s why often the hottest spots anywhere on those days are near JFK and S Nassau away from the barrier islands, or even on the barrier islands when they don’t turn to S winds. I totally agree about the humidity “saving” us (heat indices are often well over 100 now, so even the lower temps come with Miami like humidity because the waters are so warm) and the next dry period here being much hotter than before. We see how horrible the heat was down south last summer, one day that will be us too.