NeffsvilleWx
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Everything posted by NeffsvilleWx
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East coast hurricane warning extended south to Sebastian Inlet. my neighbor was out in the rain and wind this morning putting up shutters. Better late than never
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don’t get me wrong, I’m well aware of the potential in the lanco area. Was just never in the right spot at the right time. I’m close enough to the ocean here that we get a daily sea breeze which really cuts the heat and humidity. I find it more comfortable here in the summer than in Lancaster because of it.
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*anti-exploitation
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Probably location dependent. I'm on the coast here. Over 10 years, I had never recorded winds over 40 mph in Lancaster. Within the first 6 months in FL I recorded a gust of 53. NWS says expected worst case from Ian here is 58-73 mph.
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Brevard County Director of Emergency Management, on an official FB Livestream, just said that the worst of the rain is going to be on the eastern side. And that winds aren't going to be an issue here, despite MLB forecasting worst case of 58-73 mph winds. Like -- has he even been paying attention to what actual mets have been forecasting?
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41 kt gust measured at Key West International ASOS - 121 nm from the center.
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This is definitely going to compound issues. It was a pretty dry summer, but I've recorded almost 10" IMBY since 1 September.
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I put closed most of our shutters this evening. Also cleaned up the yard and brought stuff inside -- or in a protected area (house covered area in our lanai has hurricane fabric). Tomorrow I just need to close the shutters on the doors and pull the cars into the garage and we're all set. It never hurts to overprepare.
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We’re on the east coast so no major concerns from Ian. Nothing the house can’t handle, anyway. Made sure to buy a newer one built to post-Andrew building codes.
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I spent a year in Sierra Vista — I loved hiking up into the Huachuca mountains and watching storms roll across the plains. The sky is definitely “bigger” out there, that’s for sure.
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I always appreciated a good thunderstorm in PA. I did not realize how much better they could get until we moved to FL. Near daily storms in early Fall, 2"/hr+ rainfall rates, 1000+ lightning strikes within 25 km, wind gusts -- the whole 9 yards. FL weather makes PA weather seem mundane.
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12z euro didn’t have 992 until tomorrow afternoon
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If it keeps riding the east side of the cone, prep is going to drastically intensify here in Melbourne. I think most are just expecting a wet, windy day. NWS isn’t even forecasting wind speeds for wednesday and Thursday at the moment, just including “tropical storm conditions possible” for those days.
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I’m on the east coast of fl - stores have been sold out of water for the past day or so. Municipalities have been handing out sand bags. State of emergency was declared for the entire state, too. The general public knows.
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GFS has been trending east for the past few runs
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Was RI/significant strengthening ever forecast prior to today? I don't remember seeing that anywhere.
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I think you’re on the right track. Until Ian gets a bit better organized, track accuracy is going to suffer significantly.
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NWS Point and Click now says "Hurricane Conditions Possible" for central Brevard on Wednesday. Late yesterday, it said TS conditions. Seems like the 02:00 track update shifted things slightly west. 2 AM EDT Advisory:
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That's probably almost enough for permanent shutters! This was the biggest shock when we moved from PA. So much stuff and no place to put it.
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We've got shutters and a whole home generator -- and are a few miles inland in a post-Andrew code block house. We plan to stick around for anything less than a major or potential major (ie high end cat 2 just prior to last possible evac time).
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Nope. https://www.floridatoday.com/story/news/2019/08/30/mythbuster-hurricane-force-sustained-winds-have-not-struck-brevard-since-1979/2162840001/
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We chose the Space Coast for the same reason. There's never been a major to make landfall here, and the last hurricane force winds occurred in 1979.
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2022 Atlantic Hurricane season
NeffsvilleWx replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
Dry up here in Brevard, too. 40% of the county in moderate drought, 50% abnormally dry. -
In central Brevard: Storm total rainfall: 1.04" Max gust: 15.9 MPH Average windspeed: 1.9 MPH @ 102º Pressure: 1003.8 and falling The only record this has set for me is annual low barometer. Might end up setting smallest daily temp range for the year, too. But my records only start in August of '21, so records aren't too difficult to break, yet.
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Were points north of Tampa ever really in play? I thought the cutoff has been I-4 pretty consistently over the past 48 hours or so.
