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mackerel_sky

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Everything posted by mackerel_sky

  1. mackerel_sky
    I’m just looking for “ trends” the NAM has the strongest of any high pressures modeled! If we’re dependent on stronger high , to get colder wedge and temps , on a borderline airmass already, not much room for a weakening trend!
  2. mackerel_sky
    The high on the NAM is now sub 1040, a slight weakening and not good if you were hanging your hat on the NAM
  3. mackerel_sky
    Trends are not good then! The two best models ( old and new GFS) going N tonight, uggh
  4. mackerel_sky
    Would the 2nd piece of energy diving down on the animation above, behind the storm, be pushing the first piece more NE, or does it not work like that!?
  5. mackerel_sky
    It’s rasy to say when your sitting in a spot that a bad run only gets you a foot! Everyone on the edges, don’t have much wiggle room for N shifts or noise!
  6. mackerel_sky
    It’s the Bastardi curse! He said it would affect the big cities
  7. mackerel_sky
    GFS failboat setting sail! I can go to bet early, but will wait for the amazing ensembles, that will look nothing like the op!
  8. mackerel_sky
    Where’s Grit? Hope he’s back for GFS
  9. mackerel_sky
    GFSv3 is way south!! Hug it
  10. mackerel_sky
    Every time you show up, I get way more cold rain than forecast!
  11. mackerel_sky
    LOL! JMA
  12. mackerel_sky
    Lookout, you knew this was coming and will get worse!
  13. mackerel_sky
    The high in the plains/NE, has been consistently getting stronger on most modeling the last few runs!? Was around 1035/6 and now 1039/40!
  14. mackerel_sky
    How much for Jonesville? Is that a 30” dot over Shetley??
  15. mackerel_sky
    Upstate SC?
  16. mackerel_sky
    I agree with that! There are storms where we are waiting on cold to come across the mountains, and they don’t work out 99% of the time
  17. mackerel_sky
    Need the cold to be there and the big totals moving S of the NC/SC border
  18. mackerel_sky
    That’s not how damming works! CAD cold air comes from VA, and mountains don’t block it, they help it funnel down
  19. mackerel_sky
    I approve this map
  20. mackerel_sky
    Looks great to me!!! I can use another 3.2” of rain!
  21. mackerel_sky
    It’s all rain here, no maps you need to see
  22. mackerel_sky
    GFSv3, not the best of models! We hug when it’s good, toss when it’s warm!
  23. mackerel_sky
    It’s worse if you’re waiting on the cold to come over the mountains!! I can work with this! I think we get a lot of slop from this, but not all rain!
  24. mackerel_sky
    Think I saw 12-14”!!
  25. mackerel_sky
    Yeah , the bottom map gives me 12-18”! Good run
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