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mackerel_sky

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Everything posted by mackerel_sky

  1. mackerel_sky
    It was supposed to go on till the 20th of Jan or something, before the GFSv3 officially takes over
  2. mackerel_sky
    There will be a good hard freeze in April ( teens) just to kill off all the leaves and flowers that got a head start in January!
  3. mackerel_sky
    I love looking 15 days ahead for cold and it never gets closer!
  4. mackerel_sky
    It’s amazing that we can’t get a stable cold pattern, for even a week! We can lock in torch for two months, at the drop of a hat
  5. mackerel_sky
    Europe looks good and cold! That’s a given every year! The biggest cold pocket in the world, is not in or around North America!
  6. mackerel_sky
    It doesn’t matter if there is a SE ridge or not, 40s-60s aren’t going to get you wintry precip, and that’s about all we get as far as cold goes, the next 2 weeks plus
  7. mackerel_sky
    The indices forecasts have looke good since early Dec, I’ve got 300 sleet pellets out of “ the most amazing pattern seen in years”!? Smfh
  8. mackerel_sky
    Yeah, it’ll be clear by January 1st, this winter will suck like the last 5 or so. Unicorn SSW and perfect looking long range patterns, are going by the wayside. Somebody start the 2019 hurricane thread! Put this craptastic to bed
  9. mackerel_sky
    Too much variability in model runs , because of the major pattern changes. People can’t get excited about 1 run that shows snow, and 6 hours later it shows 60s! And we are holding our breath hoping the unicorn SSW will help us have a blockbuster winter
  10. mackerel_sky
    LOL @ CFS
  11. mackerel_sky
    Just seems like the new norm to be a week or so away from Christmas and searching 10, 15,20 , days ahead to look for the big chill and pattern change!? It’s almost like clockwork! We have the magical unicorn ready to pull out of our butts ( SSW) to make the cold and snowy pattern set up, but that’s far from a certainty! I look forward to the snowman pics from Iran and Egypt in the upcoming weeks, as the split goes the wrong way for us!
  12. mackerel_sky
    I can confirm, that’s pretty accurate
  13. mackerel_sky
    2m Ground temps rising in the wedge , with snow / sleet cover, is how you lose at ULL! We suck at snow in the Upstate, S of 85
  14. mackerel_sky
    Uber the winter storm warning until Tuesday!? Guess they issue those for rain now!?
  15. mackerel_sky
    So really, on this next “ round” tonight and tomorrow, what are the thermals like? 850s? Is it going to be either rain/snow?
  16. mackerel_sky
    Yeah , it’s going to be treacherous with all that upper level low that will hammer us tonight!
  17. mackerel_sky
    Guys my precip totals look like there going down! Grit , what’s it looking like for me, a little concerned up here???- Big Frosty 14” guys , barely pulled that one out!- Big Frosty Every winter storm! SMDH your like the DC of NC!
  18. mackerel_sky
    Treat the GFSv3 like the DGEX from now on!
  19. mackerel_sky
    I’ve come to accept my 2” of sleet ! I’ll take pics!
  20. mackerel_sky
    He’s an 85 N hugger, for sure!
  21. mackerel_sky
    The current radar across the South, should put to rest the “ dryer” runs of the models people are worrying about!
  22. mackerel_sky
    Well damn, I only get 16”!
  23. mackerel_sky
    Sounds like he’s pulling a Big Frosty! Roe is me, the trends are for less moisture up here, Grit you think I get an inch? I’m always to far NW in NC, poor me! then ins thread: I’m at 15” and counting, don’t know how, it’s a miracle
  24. mackerel_sky
    I really don’t see ice being a problem in the Upstate, as far as freezing rain goes. I’d be willing to bet we don’t get below 33/34 south of 85 and may get some sleet, snow if we’re very lucky. But starting and spending most of tomorrow in the 40s and not the strongest wedge in the world, guess we will see
  25. mackerel_sky
    But gives some 15-18” totals
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