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Everything posted by mackerel_sky
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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019
mackerel_sky replied to Upstate Tiger's topic in Southeastern States
The indices forecasts have looke good since early Dec, I’ve got 300 sleet pellets out of “ the most amazing pattern seen in years”!? Smfh -
Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019
mackerel_sky replied to Upstate Tiger's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah, it’ll be clear by January 1st, this winter will suck like the last 5 or so. Unicorn SSW and perfect looking long range patterns, are going by the wayside. Somebody start the 2019 hurricane thread! Put this craptastic to bed -
Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019
mackerel_sky replied to Upstate Tiger's topic in Southeastern States
Too much variability in model runs , because of the major pattern changes. People can’t get excited about 1 run that shows snow, and 6 hours later it shows 60s! And we are holding our breath hoping the unicorn SSW will help us have a blockbuster winter -
Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019
mackerel_sky replied to Upstate Tiger's topic in Southeastern States
LOL @ CFS -
Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019
mackerel_sky replied to Upstate Tiger's topic in Southeastern States
Just seems like the new norm to be a week or so away from Christmas and searching 10, 15,20 , days ahead to look for the big chill and pattern change!? It’s almost like clockwork! We have the magical unicorn ready to pull out of our butts ( SSW) to make the cold and snowy pattern set up, but that’s far from a certainty! I look forward to the snowman pics from Iran and Egypt in the upcoming weeks, as the split goes the wrong way for us! -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
mackerel_sky replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
I can confirm, that’s pretty accurate -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
mackerel_sky replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
2m Ground temps rising in the wedge , with snow / sleet cover, is how you lose at ULL! We suck at snow in the Upstate, S of 85 -
Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
mackerel_sky replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
Uber the winter storm warning until Tuesday!? Guess they issue those for rain now!? -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
mackerel_sky replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
So really, on this next “ round” tonight and tomorrow, what are the thermals like? 850s? Is it going to be either rain/snow? -
Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
mackerel_sky replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah , it’s going to be treacherous with all that upper level low that will hammer us tonight! -
Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
mackerel_sky replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
Guys my precip totals look like there going down! Grit , what’s it looking like for me, a little concerned up here???- Big Frosty 14” guys , barely pulled that one out!- Big Frosty Every winter storm! SMDH your like the DC of NC! -
Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
mackerel_sky replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
Treat the GFSv3 like the DGEX from now on! -
Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
mackerel_sky replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
I’ve come to accept my 2” of sleet ! I’ll take pics! -
Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
mackerel_sky replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
He’s an 85 N hugger, for sure! -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
mackerel_sky replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
The current radar across the South, should put to rest the “ dryer” runs of the models people are worrying about! -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
mackerel_sky replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Well damn, I only get 16”! -
Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
mackerel_sky replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
Sounds like he’s pulling a Big Frosty! Roe is me, the trends are for less moisture up here, Grit you think I get an inch? I’m always to far NW in NC, poor me! then ins thread: I’m at 15” and counting, don’t know how, it’s a miracle -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
mackerel_sky replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
I really don’t see ice being a problem in the Upstate, as far as freezing rain goes. I’d be willing to bet we don’t get below 33/34 south of 85 and may get some sleet, snow if we’re very lucky. But starting and spending most of tomorrow in the 40s and not the strongest wedge in the world, guess we will see -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
mackerel_sky replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
But gives some 15-18” totals -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
mackerel_sky replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
You’d be better off in Smyre!! -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
mackerel_sky replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
Sleeting now at Casa de Mack A little ahead of schedule! -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
mackerel_sky replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
I’m hugging the NAM and GFSv3! And taking my 2” of sleet! -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
mackerel_sky replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
That’s a lot of glory already in that WOW map! -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
mackerel_sky replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
All the models trended warmer last night- TARHEELPROGRAMMER -
December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm
mackerel_sky replied to Orangeburgwx's topic in Southeastern States
I’m sure you already know what rain looks like, but will do!