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mackerel_sky

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Everything posted by mackerel_sky

  1. mackerel_sky
    I think the CMC had some ridiculous ice totals for the Dec event!? It has a tendency to spit out apocalyptic ice totals!
  2. mackerel_sky
    I don’t remember how far out during the tracking of the Dec storm it was, but I think a few model runs showed miller B options, before finally honing in on the miller A track
  3. mackerel_sky
    Don’t worry, this was always a bonus storm! Pattern change doesn’t even start till the 16th or later! Then we will be tracking rainstorms every 3-5 days! That’ll be new!
  4. mackerel_sky
    The only way I see snow, is y’all to pick me up and take me to Boone! Sucks to live here, if you like snow!
  5. mackerel_sky
    Not with a 1046 in SE Canada! It will be a lot colder, verbatim, on that map!
  6. mackerel_sky
    For the best winter storms and wedges, don’t we want single digit DP’s?
  7. mackerel_sky
    That’s kind of what happened with the December storm, the confluence got stronger on modeling as we got closer, most models had a 1035 or so for that storm, and cold was marginal. Most are modeling this one as a 1040/41, maybe this will trend colder!?
  8. mackerel_sky
    Yeah, next week into the weekend, looks torchy and sunny!!
  9. mackerel_sky
    Right where we want it! So we can utter JB’s and DT’s favorite phrase: it’s gonna come North”!
  10. mackerel_sky
    How do we want it to happen , to get more cold and snow?
  11. mackerel_sky
    The GFSv3 crushes NC/SC, what could go wrong!?
  12. mackerel_sky
    It was supposed to go on till the 20th of Jan or something, before the GFSv3 officially takes over
  13. mackerel_sky
    There will be a good hard freeze in April ( teens) just to kill off all the leaves and flowers that got a head start in January!
  14. mackerel_sky
    I love looking 15 days ahead for cold and it never gets closer!
  15. mackerel_sky
    It’s amazing that we can’t get a stable cold pattern, for even a week! We can lock in torch for two months, at the drop of a hat
  16. mackerel_sky
    Europe looks good and cold! That’s a given every year! The biggest cold pocket in the world, is not in or around North America!
  17. mackerel_sky
    It doesn’t matter if there is a SE ridge or not, 40s-60s aren’t going to get you wintry precip, and that’s about all we get as far as cold goes, the next 2 weeks plus
  18. mackerel_sky
    The indices forecasts have looke good since early Dec, I’ve got 300 sleet pellets out of “ the most amazing pattern seen in years”!? Smfh
  19. mackerel_sky
    Yeah, it’ll be clear by January 1st, this winter will suck like the last 5 or so. Unicorn SSW and perfect looking long range patterns, are going by the wayside. Somebody start the 2019 hurricane thread! Put this craptastic to bed
  20. mackerel_sky
    Too much variability in model runs , because of the major pattern changes. People can’t get excited about 1 run that shows snow, and 6 hours later it shows 60s! And we are holding our breath hoping the unicorn SSW will help us have a blockbuster winter
  21. mackerel_sky
    LOL @ CFS
  22. mackerel_sky
    Just seems like the new norm to be a week or so away from Christmas and searching 10, 15,20 , days ahead to look for the big chill and pattern change!? It’s almost like clockwork! We have the magical unicorn ready to pull out of our butts ( SSW) to make the cold and snowy pattern set up, but that’s far from a certainty! I look forward to the snowman pics from Iran and Egypt in the upcoming weeks, as the split goes the wrong way for us!
  23. mackerel_sky
    I can confirm, that’s pretty accurate
  24. mackerel_sky
    2m Ground temps rising in the wedge , with snow / sleet cover, is how you lose at ULL! We suck at snow in the Upstate, S of 85
  25. mackerel_sky
    Uber the winter storm warning until Tuesday!? Guess they issue those for rain now!?
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