With a final result of +7.2degs. for Oct., I estimate that Nov. only needs to be +3.5degs. for us to have the warmest Fall ever in NYC.
In addition, during the last 50-day period, there were just 5 BN days.
It must be 26 of the last 31 months that have been above normal now. No BN month is predicted anytime soon to boot. CFS gets us close in April/May before zooming again. Next BN month is going to be an accident, a mere atmospheric after-thought and miscue.
btw: If those 5 BN days had occurred as a cluster, it would not even had made it to -3degs.