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CIK62

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Everything posted by CIK62

  1. CIK62
    JB's head has hit the canvas way too many tmes. His disjointed speech pattern, as well as jumbled written works, speak for themselves---unless done on purpose--.to allow him to weasle out of a bad prognostucation. lol. He depends on cycles too much. When you do that you can look good for a while, but you have to know which cycle is coming next and when.
  2. CIK62
    Next 8 days averaging 79degs., or 4degs. AN. Month to date is +4.9. Should be +4.5 by the 18th. Looking for 850mb Ts below 14C and 500mb heights under 5840m to ensure some BN period for this month, but none showing during next 15 days. EURO WEEKLIES still carving out an AN region for New England/NE for the remainder of month. If Sat/Sun are not BN day(s), maybe there won't be any this month.
  3. CIK62
    No sea breeze today. 86 with a west or nw puff. Clouds overhead, but satellite photo reveals this is just a thin sliver of cloud cover and should move on east, unfortunately.
  4. CIK62
    Next 8 days averaging 79degs., or 4degs. AN. Month to date is +5.1. Should be +4.3 by the 17th. All 3 of our models showing 2"-3" for the next 10 days. Closer to normal temps. for the third week of August?
  5. CIK62
    Next 8 days averaging 80degs., or 5degs. AN. Month to date is +4.8. Should be +4.9 by the 16th. No slam dunk BN Day in the next 15.
  6. CIK62
    Next 8 days are averaging 81degs., or 5degs. AN. Month to date is +4.6. Should be +4.9 by the 15th. Summer [JJA to date] is +1.02. EURO WEEKLIES have no 7-day BN period here for its duration.
  7. CIK62
    No temperature reversal due to sea breeze so far today in CI. It is 86 at Noon and holding. However there are more mid-level clouds than yesterday, when the sea breeze did save the day.
  8. CIK62
    Next 8 days are averaging 82degs., or 6degs. AN. Month to date is +3.8. Should be +5.2 by the 14th. This would be a record pace if maintained for the whole month.
  9. CIK62
    Next 8 days are averaging 82degs., or 6degs. AN.
  10. CIK62
    NYC did make 90 near 4PM. Sea breeze held up for me, but sun never quit. Nothing BN till 19th.?
  11. CIK62
    I am lucking out here near beach in CI. Peaked at 86, but now 83.
  12. CIK62
    Next 90 days look AN for the entire Northern Hemisphere except Labrador into Greenland, on the RWTT. Closer in, CFS likes LDWeekend for tropical mischief on E.C. Formerly this was far out from US.
  13. CIK62
    Next 8 days averaging 83degs., or 7degs. AN. Even adding the GFS/CMC together, does not get us to 1" of rain, on the next 10.
  14. CIK62
    Next 8 days averaging 82degs., or 6degs. AN. [Please note +5.2 would be a record pace] The crazy GFS has 2/3 of the next 16 days at 90+. Even the EURO has just 1BN day in the next 15. As predicted we give up some inches for some degrees. You'll beg for rain now, if this is right.
  15. CIK62
    CFS shows rains originating in the GOM near the 20th. along the EC. Then a weak system moving across Atlantic but missing EC completely near the end of August. Just some events to ponder in what could be a boring hurricane season by number/intensity when viewed by what is now expected.
  16. CIK62
    Next 8 days averaging 81degs., or 5degs. AN. EURO WEEKLIES are AN until Sept.
  17. CIK62
    I would say that Hurricane Donna on the first day of school in 1960 and the fact that Mayor Wagner kept the schools opened. I learned something that day in that while walking south to the school at 9AM, the wind was at my back, and when we were finally released two hours after the usual 3PM time due to dangerous conditions/aftermath of the fringe effects, the wind was again at my back while going in the opposite direction!
  18. CIK62
    Next 8 days averaging 82degs., or 5degs. AN. 77 [6am] now with mixed cloud cover.
  19. CIK62
    July ended at 77.6, or +1.1. Leaving out the HW of the first 5 days of the month, the last 26 days were about -0.50. The summer to date is +0.66.
  20. CIK62
    Next 8 days averaging 82degs, or 5degs. AN.
  21. CIK62
    The first week of August already averaging 82degs., or 5degs. AN. The first two weeks of August are a LOCK for AN temperatures as we give up some precipitation due to a nossy SEAtlantic Ridge.
  22. CIK62
    Anyone buying all the 100's the GFS has on sale for the first half of August? Will it get its revenge after its July bust?
  23. CIK62
    Last day of July is averaging 76degs , or 1deg. BN. Month to date is +1.1 and should end there. Take out the first 5 days of July and the remainder of July was -0.5. The full 8 days is 81/+4. GFS has 11 day HW starting Aug. 5.
  24. CIK62
    GFS high temperature bias continues: GFS average high for the next 10 days is 93, and the EURO's is 85. At any rate we have about 60 hours till a long run of AN hot air invades.
  25. CIK62
    Remainder of July averaging 76degs., or 1deg BN. Month to date is +1.3. Should end at +1.2. The full 8 days is 79/+2.
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