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wxmeddler

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Everything posted by wxmeddler

  1. wxmeddler
    Well since the only thing it knows is history, its learned that we generally just get screwed.
  2. wxmeddler
    Light onshore flow from the bay will do that
  3. wxmeddler
    My Prediction: Radar is gonna look worse than that surface. Even the 3KM NAM has dew pt depressions 7-10F in the AM. That said, it's gonna stick on roads that aren't treated.
  4. wxmeddler
    Tiny bit of a shortwave at 500 moving through with some elevated moisture levels and clouds. Might put a pause on our cooling for a 3-4 hours. Still, longest night of the year. Someone is gonna get single digits east of the Blue Ridge.
  5. wxmeddler
    Rates can overcome any ground temp. We just don't have the rates. Visibility hasn't dropped below a mile at DMW or FDK Edit: Which isn't surprising. Pretty abysmal thermodynamics going on.
  6. wxmeddler
    Parr's Ridge is probably about the only place in the state that is accumulating right now..
  7. wxmeddler
    Was snow when I left Silver Spring this morning, turned to rain as I went downhill into College Park. Very noticeable R/S line at ~300ft.
  8. wxmeddler
    We work with local entities at every level. It's hard, but worth it. Wouldn't be possible without the crew we got going.
  9. wxmeddler
    Snow TV achieved at 360' elevation in Silver Spring. Apparently still rain down in College Park (50').
  10. wxmeddler
    As an FYI for everyone using this, the snow depth sensors are only accurate to about +/- half an inch. So use your common sense if it's just starting to stick and it says zero OR it says 0.3" and it's raining. We're working on better QA/QC to try and make those kinds of errors happen less often; but as we know, snow depth is about the hardest thing to measure accurately. In addtion, it's only measuring ONE point on the ground, it doesn't know the difference between a drift and a scour.
  11. wxmeddler
    High water mark for me in this event is SnowTV down to the fall line, and at least an inch along Parr's Ridge.
  12. wxmeddler
    This morning's IAD EML, brought to you by... The Mexican High Plateau.
  13. wxmeddler
    Weird that there is thunder... realtime guidance has no MUCAPE. lol
  14. wxmeddler
    Perfectly placed. Gonna "waste" about 45 min for it to move through.
  15. wxmeddler
    Started as snow in Silver Spring. Pretty heavily sublimated though. Tiny flakes thus far.
  16. wxmeddler
    12z GFS is bigger..
  17. wxmeddler
    There should be some good fluff to this, that's not a wet slop.
  18. wxmeddler
  19. wxmeddler
    Not sure what more you would want at this point with this wave. This is excellent, especially up near the Mason-Dixon, -12 at 700 overlapped with the best frontogenesis forcing is perfection.
  20. wxmeddler
    Back in Fargo, we'd call this "another 2-4" event and everyone would shrug and go about their business. We're splitting hairs here at this point, this has been locked in for at least the last 36 hours.
  21. wxmeddler
    Winds picked up with the FROPA and we're mixing out.
  22. wxmeddler
  23. wxmeddler
    12z Euro is a solid hit, and cold enough for everyone!
  24. wxmeddler
    You can use T if snow fell then melted on contact. You don't need stickage for a Trace.
  25. wxmeddler
    I think we could be doing an inch an hour with this band if it was sticking. The model doesn't know if it's sticking, it just knows its falling.
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