hawkeye_wx

GEFS 15-day

The drought is gradually being chipped away around here.  Last summer we peaked at "exceptional".  We dropped to "extreme" for the winter.  Last week we dropped to "severe".  The next two weeks could eliminate the remaining "extreme" drought in Iowa and drop us down to "moderate".

Models continue to show a very active pattern from late April into early May.

0.36" of rain here today, pushing my April total up to 2.62".

I finished with 0.67" of rain.  That's not bad, but less than what models have been showing for days.  Thunder was minimal.  I at least got to see some heavy rain for the first time this year.

There have been a few warnings to the south, but it's just a band of showers with embedded lightning moving into my area.  There has been zero sunshine across eastern Iowa today.

Cedar Rapids made it to 86º today, pretty toasty.  Des Moines hit 88º.  The sw corner of Iowa made it to 90º.

I should finally get my first thunderstorm of the year Tuesday.  All of our rain so far this season has been light to moderate cold rain.

A total solar eclipse will occur in October 2153 and Cedar Rapids will be in the exact center of totality.  I wish we could move that up by 100 years.

My three day precip total is a solid 1.37".  My snow total is only 0.3".

We were only able to get a couple tenths as the snow struggled to accumulate faster than it melted.  There is much better overlap between the heavy precip and cold air up in Wisconsin.

Cedar Rapids just switched to snow.

06z Euro

The early to mid week storm has trended nw this evening.  The Euro, in particular, has shifted all the snow back west into Wisconsin.

1 minute ago, CheeselandSkies said:

Here's hoping Monday is as much of a washout for IA/NW IL as it looks to be on the GFS.

Unfortunately, the GFS is an outlier.  The other models are farther south and less amped, so just showers here.

We had some decent lightning/thunder this evening, but no rain.

We were fully dry-slotted yesterday, but we managed to get a decent 0.46" this morning as a couple final pieces of energy rippled through the area.

I guess my winter was a B-.  We were able to just barely exceed our average snowfall, which included the near record snow week in January.  At this point, if it's not going to snow, give me warmth, so I enjoyed the warmth through much of the Dec-Feb period.

My snow total is 5.9" (in 3 hrs).  The liquid total is 0.74".  Obviously, I'm delighted I ended up in the bullseye.  

7" is being reported a bit nw of Cedar Rapids.  I'll get a measurement when it finishes in about 20 minutes.  It's not 7" here, but it's at least 4-5".

We've been upgrade to a warning (3-8").  I'm at about 2.3" so far, but it won't last long enough to get too much more.

Three days ago the Euro was consistently showing 2-3" of rain across eastern Iowa from the upcoming big storm.  This is what it has devolved into.

I'm really liking the medium to long range.  Ensembles are spitting out widespread 2-3" of precip across the region through 15 days as big troughs eject out of the west and the gulf is wide open.

Another long-duration light rain event produced 0.45" here.  March is up to 1.00".

We got a much-needed 0.53".

This was a big ol' dud here.  I got 0.02".  The late-week system had better pan out.