mahantango#1

Yes I noticed with the last rain we had when the creek came up it didn't go back down right away within a day as it usually does in the summer, with a summer downpour. It is still up a little. I know that the water table is getting replenished. So any heavy downpours will make the creek rise fairly quickly. When the creek gets to over 6.5ft. my garden will start taking on water.

That 4-6 would definitely cause problems.

Say it isn't so!

Hopefully I wont get much rain, but could use a good lghtshow at night.

I'll try to send some south and west. We had a little too much in a little over a month, especially for my potatoes. They are planted in the bottom land Next to creek. It's kinda too wet the last several weeks in there.

Yes he can get quite arrogant at times!

DT is sounding the alarm! *SERIOUS WX THREAT* Ground is SATURDATED in New England /eastern NY/ north NJ /eastern PA. PAY ATTENTION TO THE DAMN FORECAST

I'm close to 11" for the same time period. I can't believe the difference.

1.70 rain yesterday from a series of thunderstorms. Monthly total now stands at 7.01in

I put my rain Guage out to see if the accurite or the Ambient is off. When it pours the Ambient doesn't pick up the heavy rain an total it quickly. The accu-rite does. So my Ambient is off when it pours. My total for the month of July so far is 6.85

1.54 rain so far tonight.

.72 rain from severe warnd thunderstorm.

Yea well can't do anything about it

Lower humidity? My dewpoint is 70

I thought your temperature range was 90-100 and a dewpoint of 72 +.you'll soon be down in the Biizz range.

.48 rain overnight.

Earlier a few hrs ago they said the threat of heavy rain was east of us. Now this, what changed? Flood Watch National Weather Service State College PA 644 PM EDT Sat Jul 15 2023 PAZ026>028-035-036-049>053-056>059-063>066-160645- /O.NEW.KCTP.FA.A.0004.230715T2244Z-230716T0800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland- Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Mount Union, Sunbury, Bloomsburg, Lewisburg, York, Huntingdon, Lancaster, Hershey, Chambersburg, McConnellsburg, Selinsgrove, Harrisburg, Mifflintown, Lebanon, Danville, Carlisle, Berwick, Newport, Gettysburg, Lewistown, Shamokin, and Pottsville 644 PM EDT Sat Jul 15 2023 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania, including the following counties, Adams, Columbia, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata, Lancaster, Lebanon, Mifflin, Montour, Northumberland, Perry, Schuylkill, Snyder, Union and York. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - A large area of showers and embedded thunderstorms will impact the watch area this evening. Hourly rainfall rates of as much as 2 to 3 inches will pose an isolated flash flood risk in any areas where repeat rainfall develops. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. &&

Weather World on to something near the end of July?

Yes I think I posted it. At this point its a crap shoot until we see it on radar (if there is anything) later today or tonight. But its still interesting. Just hoping for a great lightning show after dark.

What model are you placing your $1000.00 bet on?

The half to three quarter i'll take. I just hope we don't get the hard downpours.

Is that all for tonight? NWS makes it sound like its all night till the wee hours of the morning.

Sounds like it could be an active and noisy night. Hope there is a good lightning show tonight. Tonight Showers and thunderstorms before 5am, then a chance of showers. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. Patchy fog after 2am. Low around 71. Southeast wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between 1 and 2 inches possible. Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 558 AM EDT Sat Jul 15 2023 PAZ004-036-056-057-059-063>066-161000- Warren-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York- Lancaster- 558 AM EDT Sat Jul 15 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are possible from late this afternoon through tonight. Heavy rain is expected from some of the thunderstorms and may lead to flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds and heavy rain are possible on Sunday. The rain may lead to flooding. Heavy rain is again possible later Monday and Monday night. SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... PWAT does reach 2" in the SE late today per latest HREF mean values. Heavy rain will, again today, depend on having repeated cells pass over the same area. Storm motions should be generally W-E or slightly N of E. FFG is lowest in the middle and upper Susq. They are gradually lowering with each day as we have rain streak across the area. Have considered a flash flood watch. Will continue to consider one, mainly for the SE and EC counties, where the latest model trends place the heaviest rain/storms this evening. Looks like there should be a fair amount of time for the dayshift to further diagnose/divine where it might be best to post one (if at all). As the evening continues, the storms will likely cluster over the SE close to the old boundary and along the gradient of 1.75-2" PWAT which will be working northward. Forcing swings by during the middle of the night, clearing out the west of any showers/storms there in the evening, and eventually pushing most of the the storms out of the Susq Valley and to the east of the CWA before sunrise. Will continue to mention heavy rain in the wx grids. SPC MRGL risk is drawn over most of the area, mainly for wind, but a small risk of hail and tornadoes is painted for the Alleghenies/NW as the shear will be better there. Newest (06Z) NAM delays exit of the storms to the east, and is more aggressive with rainfall on Sunday than the GFS. With the rainfall later today and tonight being heaviest in the E, and the bulk of rain expected to be in the E again on Sunday, the flooding risk will continue. It will likely be foggy again tonight, esp if clearing becomes complete in areas (W). Temps stay AOA normals thru the period. Sunday may be a few degs cooler than Sat and Mon.

Yes that's true! Doesn't look promising at all.