mahantango#1

My rain rate was a bit ago 4.51 in hr.

Thunderstorm Warning PAC043-067-075-097-099-107-109-062200- /O.NEW.KCTP.SV.W.0149.240806T2123Z-240806T2200Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service State College PA 523 PM EDT Tue Aug 6 2024 The National Weather Service in State College PA has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northern Dauphin County in south central Pennsylvania... Northeastern Juniata County in central Pennsylvania... Northwestern Lebanon County in south central Pennsylvania... Southwestern Northumberland County in central Pennsylvania... Northeastern Perry County in south central Pennsylvania... Southwestern Schuylkill County in central Pennsylvania... Southeastern Snyder County in central Pennsylvania... * Until 600 PM EDT. * At 520 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Millersburg, moving east at 30 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. * Locations impacted include... Valley View, Millersburg, Lykens, Elizabethville, Williamstown, Tower City, Port Trevorton, New Buffalo, Klingerstown, Leck Kill, Urban, and Dehart Dam. This includes Interstate 81 from mile markers 78 to 83. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Stay inside a well built structure and keep away from windows. To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement agency. They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in State College PA.

That's headed my way!

Had .15 rain earlier. Then sun came out with a dewpoint of 80.

Is it me, or are some of the models trending a little higher on precipitation?

2011 in September had a similar set up before Lee came . We were in a drought and we had thunderstorms roll through that dumped over 2 in. of rain. WE were at Kipona in Harrisburg to see the fireworks. Well you could see the lightning in the distance that seemed to be nonstop. Harrisburg said they will start the fireworks early because some of those storms were severe with heavy rain. On the way home we got caught in those storms in Dauphin. It was very hard to see driving with the intense rain coming down. I remember the creek was very low at that time. I remember the creek was high the day after those thunderstorms rolled through then a few days later Lee rolled in...the rest is history. So I wonder if the same thing will happen again. I hope not but anything is possible.

It took you awhile!

So summer is over?

Good ole S&S: SS Storm Chase And Forecast Team - Mid Atlantic LLC Favorites · · LATEST EURO MODEL FLOODS THE ENTIRE EAST COAST !!!! DO YOU WANT A TRACK AND IMPACT MAP??? FLOOD WATCH LIKELY **LIST YOUR CITY OR TOWN AND WE WILL PUT IT ON TOMORROWS GRAPHIC FOR DEBBY!!!! ———————————————— DEBBY IS 4-5 DAYS AWAY BUT IS ON THE WAY!!! ***BIG ISSUES!!!! THE SLOWER SHE MOVES THE MORE RAIN WE WILL GET!!! ***KEEP AN EYE ON THIS!!!!!! DEBBY’S IS CURRENTLY NAILING THE SOUTHEAST MEANWHILE THE MID ATLANTIC HAS BIG TIME PROBLEMS ON THE WAY!!! Let’s talk about the Mid Atlantic!!!!! ***A STALLED FRONT WILL DRENCH THE AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN BEFORE DEBBY EVEN ARRIVES. OUR LOCAL AREA WILL SEE DEBBY TAKE AIM ON THE VA/MD/PA/NYC/DE/DC AREAS!!! THE COMBINATION OF BOTH SYSTEMS WILL CAUSE MAJOR PROBLEMS FOR OUR AREA!!! THIS COULD CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING, TREES DOWN, FLOODING, ETC. WHEN??? TUESDAY & THURSDAY = T-Storms FRIDAY - SUNDAY = DEBBY!!!!! WE EXPECT DEBBY TO DUMP 5-10” of RAIN in much of the Mid Atlantic Area!!! That is in addition to the 2-3” from T-Storms this week. SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE!!! A few T Storms will be embedded in the remnants of DEBBY and may be severe causing TORNADOES!!! **That said, We believe the biggest problem will be FLOODING. WE STRONGLY ADVISE THOSE IN VA-MD-DC-DE-PA-NY-NYC-NJ TO PAY EXTREMELY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE WEATHER !!! ***THIS STORM IS NOT MOVING MUCH AT ALL. EXPECT FLOODING TO BE LIKELY FROM THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY!!! STAY TUNED!!!

If we get that I know my creek will be out over its banks. Goodbye garden.

Please, someone, anyone start the 2024-2025 winter thread. This is the summer thread, and the word snow has on place in this thread.

No say it isn't so! Too early for this...false start.

I know about 10 people that just arrived on Saturday to spend the week at Myrtle till this Saturday. They are staying in a hotel or condo on the beach. Wonder if they will have to evacuate later this week?

I just took notice I copied the wrong one. I wanted the Hilton head area. But they are basically the sme forecast. STORM SURGE WARNING NWS CHARLESTON SC 512 AM EDT MON AUG 5 2024 SCZ048-051715- /O.CON.KCHS.SS.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 512 AM EDT MON AUG 5 2024 Beaufort- ...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... * LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Hilton Head Island - Beaufort - Bluffton * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 25-35 mph with gusts to 45 mph - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 58 to 73 mph - The wind threat has increased from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for dangerous wind of equivalent strong tropical storm force. - PREPARE: Remaining efforts to protect life and property should be completed as soon as possible. Prepare for significant wind damage. - ACT: Move to safe shelter before the wind becomes hazardous. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant - Some damage to roofing and siding materials, along with damage to porches, awnings, carports, and sheds. A few buildings experiencing window, door, and garage door failures. Mobile homes damaged, especially if unanchored. Unsecured lightweight objects become dangerous projectiles. - Several large trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. - Some roads impassable from large debris, and more within urban or heavily wooded places. A few bridges and access routes impassable. - Travel by vehicle or on foot increasingly difficult. Danger of death or injury from falling objects such as trees or electric wires outside. - Scattered power and communications outages, but more prevalent in areas with above ground lines, which could persist for hours or days. - Some poorly secured small craft could break loose from their moorings. * STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas - Window of concern: Begins this evening - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of greater than 3 feet above ground. - PREPARE: Evacuation efforts and flood preparations should soon be brought to completion before conditions become unsafe. - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or needlessly risk lives. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant - Areas of inundation of saltwater along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots farther inland near rivers and creeks, with storm surge flooding accentuated by waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast. - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become weakened or washed out, especially in normally vulnerable low spots. - Moderate to major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and numerous rip currents. - Minor to moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected anchorages. Some navigation aids possibly displaced well off station, creating difficult navigation near inlets and waterways. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 18-24 inches, with locally higher amounts - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for extreme flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for extreme flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely. - PREPARE: Urgently consider protective actions from extreme and widespread rainfall flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic - Extreme rainfall flooding could prompt widespread rescues. As event unfolds, rescues could become impossible. - Rivers and tributaries could overwhelmingly overflow their banks in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become raging rivers with strong currents. Flood control systems and barriers could become stressed or overwhelmed. - Flood waters will enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Flood waters could render escape routes impassable. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become impossible and life threatening. Widespread road and bridge closures with most weakened or washed out. - Drinking water and sewer services could be negatively impacted. - Hazardous containers and materials could possibly be present in flood waters. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is favorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several tornadoes - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger damage paths. - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats are urged to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives. - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant - Isolated to scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans. - Scattered locations could experience enhanced damage due to tornadoes with a few spots of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures. - Scattered locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - https://weather.gov/chs - https://ready.gov/hurricanes - http://www.bcgov.net LAT...LON 3269 8081 3269 8079 3268 8077 3267 8075 3268 8074 3267 8073 3268 8072 3267 8071 3267 8071 3267 8067 3266 8067 3266 8068 3265 8068 3264 8068 3265 8067 3264 8066 3263 8068 3263 8068 3263 8066 3261 8066 3260 8065 3259 8063 3258 8063 3258 8062 3259 8061 3258 8060 3259 8059 3258 8058 3257 8058 3257 8057 3255 8057 3256 8056 3257 8056 3257 8055 3253 8054 3252 8052 3250 8050 3249 8048 3245 8048 3243 8044 3241 8043 3240 8043 3230 8043 3223 8063 3209 8082 3208 8087 3208 8088 3208 8091 3209 8091 3211 8090 3212 8093 3213 8091 3214 8091 3213 8092 3214 8093 3214 8094 3213 8095 3214 8095 3216 8095 3217 8095 3218 8096 3218 8096 3219 8100 3220 8100 3222 8101 3224 8102 3227 8099 3229 8099 3231 8101 3230 8094 3235 8092 3235 8089 3235 8089 3235 8088 3238 8086 3239 8084 3239 8084 3241 8083 3241 8085 3243 8085 3245 8084 3246 8083 3246 8083 3247 8082 3248 8082 3251 8083 3253 8085 3254 8084 3256 8084 3259 8083 3261 8084 3262 8085 3262 8085 3266 8087 3270 8084 3270 8083 3269 8081

In today's society people need to get the message. Hopefully they do. The NWS can't be clearer on this event. I hope it it doesn't come to what they're saying in the post.

This forecast looks bleak for the south-east US. STORM SURGE WARNING NWS CHARLESTON SC 512 AM EDT MON AUG 5 2024 SCZ052-051715- /O.CON.KCHS.SS.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ 512 AM EDT MON AUG 5 2024 Tidal Berkeley- ...STORM SURGE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... * LOCATIONS AFFECTED - Daniel Island - Red Bank Landing - Cainhoy * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind - Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39 to 57 mph - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm force. - PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be underway. Prepare for limited wind damage. - ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind becomes hazardous. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about. - Large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are shallow rooted. - Some roads impassable due to debris, particularly within urban or heavily wooded locations. Hazardous driving conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways, especially for high profile vehicles. - Isolated to scattered power and communications outages. * STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Life-threatening storm surge possible - Peak Storm Surge Inundation: The potential for 2-4 feet above ground somewhere within surge prone areas - Window of concern: Begins this evening - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for storm surge flooding greater than 3 feet above ground - The storm surge threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Plan for life-threatening storm surge flooding of greater than 3 feet above ground. - PREPARE: Evacuation efforts and flood preparations should soon be brought to completion before conditions become unsafe. - ACT: Leave immediately if evacuation orders are given for your area to avoid being cut off from emergency services or needlessly risk lives. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant - Areas of inundation of saltwater along immediate shorelines and in low-lying spots farther inland near rivers and creeks, with storm surge flooding accentuated by waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast. - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become weakened or washed out, especially in normally vulnerable low spots. - Moderate to major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and numerous rip currents. - Minor to moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers. Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in unprotected anchorages. Some navigation aids possibly displaced well off station, creating difficult navigation near inlets and waterways. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Flood Watch is in effect - Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 18-24 inches, with locally higher amounts - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for extreme flooding rain - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for extreme flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues are likely. - PREPARE: Urgently consider protective actions from extreme and widespread rainfall flooding. - ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take action will likely result in serious injury or loss of life. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Devastating to Catastrophic - Extreme rainfall flooding could prompt widespread rescues. As event unfolds, rescues could become impossible. - Rivers and tributaries could overwhelmingly overflow their banks in many places with deep moving water. Small streams, creeks, canals, and ditches may become raging rivers with strong currents. Flood control systems and barriers could become stressed or overwhelmed. - Flood waters will enter many structures within multiple communities, some structures becoming uninhabitable or washed away. Flood waters could render escape routes impassable. Streets and parking lots become rivers of raging water with underpasses submerged. Driving conditions become impossible and life threatening. Widespread road and bridge closures with most weakened or washed out. - Drinking water and sewer services could be negatively impacted. - Hazardous containers and materials could possibly be present in flood waters. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - Situation is favorable for tornadoes - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for several tornadoes - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the previous assessment. - PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for several tornadoes with a few possibly intense having larger damage paths. - PREPARE: Those living in manufactured homes or on boats should prepare to relocate to safe shelter before hazardous weather arrives. - ACT: Listen for tornado watches and warnings. If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter quickly. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant - Isolated to scattered tornadoes can hinder the execution of emergency plans. - Scattered locations could experience enhanced damage due to tornadoes with a few spots of considerable damage, power loss, and communications failures. - Scattered locations could realize roofs torn off frame houses, mobile homes demolished, boxcars overturned, large trees snapped or uprooted, vehicles tumbled, and small boats tossed about. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - https://weather.gov/chs - https://ready.gov/hurricanes LAT...LON 3305 7986 3299 7985 3296 7986 3293 7982 3292 7982 3291 7984 3288 7985 3287 7987 3287 7989 3287 7989 3286 7989 3283 7990 3282 7991 3282 7993 3285 7994 3286 7997 3289 7997 3291 7995 3291 7998 3293 8000 3298 8000 3302 8000 3307 7997 3307 7985 3305 7986

I'm glad to see that about everyone is putting Pillow in their crosshairs.

That will be catastrophic flooding for a lot of people.

Nice to see you keep your favorite metoroligst picture on your nightstand accessible for posting.

I wish the people in the southeast US the best i this storm> I seen Hilton Head Island could get 26 inches of rain. I love Hilton Head, Thats our favorite place to vacation along Coliginy Beach.

*Potentially historic rainfall amounts likely to bring widespread severe flooding to the area* There is increasing confidence that TS Debby will stall near the area Tues/Wed. Rainfall amounts will bring extreme impacts- help us get the word out! weather.gov/chs/tropical