mahantango#1

From DT after he issued his first call, I guess his map is invalid now. BIG CHANGES IN NEW SHORT RANGE MODELS REGARDING JAN 16 Full update on the Twitter page But basically what's happened is that the new high resolution models coming in Friday night early Saturday morning or dramatically warmer at the mid levels of the atmosphere. This is producing a lot more sleet and freezing rain even in the Shenandoah Valley Southwest Virginia Virginia as well as the Virginia and North Carolina Piedmont regions and into central Maryland. Fo example in central Virginia the temperature stays below 32ﾟ until 7 o'clock on Sunday evening which is quite a bit later than what the data was showing earlier. The precipitation comes in with a lot of freezing rain and sleet in all of Western North Carolina the Western half of virginia into Western Maryland and even into West Virginia. The snow amounts on these short range models are reduced but the ice and the ice storm threat is dramatically increased . If this trend is confirmed we are looking at much more than ice storm in the interior or Western half of North Carolina virginia of North Carolina virginia Western and central Maryland and West Virginia and a lot less snow. I'm not going to change anything right now but if the trend continues the last call map tomorrow morning will be significantly different.

Let's see what tomorrow mornings model runs look like as we get a little closer to that event.

If this would stay all snow and those forecasted winds materialize There will be a lot of drifting an possible road closures. Key word if.

You think those totals in the central and western part of the state will eventually be expanded east 30 miles?

Whtm-27 has not changed their snow map from last night. S I guess they feel pretty confident.

what you said reminds me of this commercial

Does anyone think this map has any merit?

DT will have his first guess map out @1100pm

Usually they downplay it. I thought they would be cautious especially after just a few years ago when they had a accumulation map out with some that were over a foot. And if I remember correctly we ended up in the 2-3 inch range.

ABC WHTM has a snow map out already.

I don't think he's a bad forecaster. But he can be nasty at times with people, but sometimes I think some people just like to provoke the bear.

So someone else must have watched his video and read his blog.

There lets bring DT to the house.

Seem to me after all the confusing model runs DT has been bewildered somewhat. So he's not predicting where this will go.

I know there are not many JB fans on here. But he referenced yesterday, last evening that the storm will run from eastern NC., to Millville NJ to JFK.

37 for the high here.

Thanks!

What time frame are we looking at for precipitation to start in southern Pa. if there is a storm.

14 here hard to believe your colder.

DT might have a different take: everyone loves DT.

I only got to 33 and that was @10:00pm

I hope so, as a lot of the trees are incased in ice up here. It could lead to problems with 25 mph winds forecast

So much for getting to the forecast high of 37 today still stuck at 32 for 4 hours.

Your probably right on that as the last few years winter has dragged on well into spring.