wolfie09

Not a terrible spot 5 days out..

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Another clipper low will bring widespread light snow to the area late this afternoon and tonight with 1 to 3 inches expected for most locations. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. With the passage of the clipper low lake effect snows will develop with accumulating snows expected east and southeast of the lake Tuesday and Tuesday night.

Another chilly night with a low of -8°, average low for the month is probably like 2 lol

Four games this weekend separated by 15 points, previous record was 18.. Every game came down to the wire, couldn't ask for much more as a "spectator"..

WTF lol Game is crazy..

Have faith lol Still just 1 score game..

Another crazy game lol

An area of low pressure over Michigan Monday afternoon will bring a round of light snow to the region late Monday afternoon through Monday night with lake effect snow showers into Tuesday-Tuesday night. There will be a short period of warm air advection ahead of the approaching low Monday afternoon. Moisture will increase and as the low moves closer to the eastern Great Lakes light, widespread snow will move into western NY late Monday afternoon/early Monday evening. Moisture profiles dry out quickly as the low moves across western NY and across Lake Ontario overnight into Tuesday morning and snow showers will quickly taper off however... a west-northwest flow will move right back into the region and lake effect snow showers will set-up east-southeast of the Lakes Tuesday. Accumulation of 1-3 inches possible Monday afternoon-Monday night. WNW winds will increase Tuesday with wind chills in the single digits to the teens and highs in the 20s. There is increasing confidence that a lake band forms on the backside of the departing low and right over Oswego county Tuesday morning. This could deliver a few inches of snow. Less favorable southeast of Lake Erie with less moisture and winds moving around some. Lake snows stick around Tuesday night into Wednesday as a mid-level trough moves over the Great Lakes through the period. Another very cold airmass will spread across the Great Lakes and into the region Tuesday night through Wednesday night. Cold, with temperatures in the teens across western NY and the single digits across the North Country on Wednesday. Overnight lows Tuesday night and Wednesday night will be near zero to the low single digits across western NY and below zero across the North Country.

It's fun trying to read observation from the early 1900s lol

SNOWFALL REPORTS... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...New York... ...Chautauqua County... 1 E Silver Creek 9.5 in 0100 PM 01/23 Public ...Erie County... 1 NNE Lake Erie Beach 17.0 in 1020 AM 01/23 Public 1 WNW Colden 11.0 in 0130 PM 01/23 Cocorahs 4 NW Eden 10.6 in 1038 AM 01/23 Trained Spotter 2 NE Hamburg 9.5 in 0100 PM 01/23 Trained Spotter 3 ENE Holland 8.0 in 0930 AM 01/23 Trained Spotter Orchard Park 8.0 in 0150 PM 01/23 Trained Spotter East Aurora 1.0 ESE 7.5 in 1100 AM 01/23 COCORAHS Elma Center 0.7 SE 7.0 in 0825 AM 01/23 COCORAHS 1 WNW Alden 5.3 in 0200 PM 01/23 Trained Spotter Buffalo Airport 1.6 in 1254 PM 01/23 Official NWS Obs West Seneca 1.9W 1.5 in 0900 AM 01/23 COCORAHS Williamsville 3.8 E 0.5 in 0900 AM 01/23 COCORAHS East Amherst 1.2 WNW 0.5 in 0925 AM 01/23 COCORAHS East Amherst 1.3 WSW 0.4 in 0900 AM 01/23 COCORAHS Williamsville 2.2 NNW 0.3 in 0900 AM 01/23 COCORAHS Tonawanda 1.6 E 0.1 in 0900 AM 01/23 COCORAHS ...Genesee County... 1 NW Batavia 3.0 in 0100 PM 01/23 Trained Spotter 2 E Stafford 2.5 in 0145 PM 01/23 Trained Spotter ...Jefferson County... Lorraine 14.5 in 1030 AM 01/23 Public 3 SW Natural Bridge 11.5 in 1030 AM 01/23 Trained Spotter Adams Center 11.5 in 0100 PM 01/23 Public Watertown 11.2 in 1000 AM 01/23 Trained Spotter 4 SW Barnes Corners 10.0 in 1200 PM 01/23 Trained Spotter 3 NW Adams Center 7.8 in 1000 AM 01/23 Trained Spotter ...Monroe County... Rochester Airport 2.2 in 1254 PM 01/23 Official NWS Obs Brockport 0.5 in 0900 AM 01/23 COOP ...Ontario County... Honeoye 2.0 in 0930 AM 01/23 COOP Canandaigua 4.6 S 0.8 in 0900 AM 01/23 COCORAHS ...Oswego County... 2 WSW Oswego 4.3 in 1130 AM 01/23 CO-OP Observer

Rgem has a similar scenario behind the next clipper, it just starts farther south.. Fwiw

Not much of a clipper lol Maybe T-2 if we are lucky..

Yeah but how many models showed that? Lol Just like last years bust, NWS can't just make up numbers that guidance isn't showing..

I think NWS did pretty good with this one..You can see a little 4"-6" zone in and around Oswego..I measured a touch over 4" at noon, probably added another 1/2" or so since.. They did pretty solid for this area..

Canadian comes close, GFS not so much..

Starting to get back into some solid rates with nice size dendrites..

Look at the rip-off zone near Matt

Picked up 3.5" between 830-1030, still snowing but obviously at a much weaker rate..

Found 1 bigger lol

Henderson NY, west of Adams, near the lake is the big winner so far off Ontario.. Henderson 14.0 in 0730 AM 01/23 Trained Spotter Watertown 7.8 in 0630 AM 01/23 Trained Spotter

This system will bring moisture back into the area Monday afternoon into Monday night, bringing a widespread general snowfall to the region. Some lake enhancement is likely east of the lakes, but in general a 2-4 inches snowfall is expected for most areas with slightly lesser amounts across the Finger Lakes, with higher amounts east of the lakes could locally approach 6 inches. Widespread snowfall then tapers to northwest flow lake convective snow showers later Monday night and continues through Tuesday before high pressure builds in by Tuesday night.

Yeah the main part of the band is weakening ..We should still have a couple hours of moderate snow to go..NWS has 1"-2" with an isolated 3"(Cayuga) as it heads south.. Much of the south shore of Lake Ontario (including Rochester) will see 1- 2" as the band moves south and onshore. There may be some localized 3" amounts in northeast Wayne and northern Cayuga counties before the band weakens and breaks up as it move onshore.

Haha..It's been screwing away all year..I haven't seen a band sit still more than a couple hours so far this winter..

Yeah right around there. I think it started around 8:30 and I took an "unofficial" deck measurement at 9:25..