wolfie09

Temps as of 11 AM.. Just hit 80° Imby..

More power to you guys lol For me I'd rather it be 50° like it supposed to be and open the windows instead of paying for artificial air ... Science says sleeping in a cold room is better for your health https://www.thetelegraph.com/news/article/Science-says-sleeping-in-cold-room-is-better-for-13670456.php

You need to move to the sizzlecuse lol Kbgm forecasting an "official" heat wave.. Today Sunny, with a high near 91. West wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 69. Southwest wind 7 to 14 mph. Sunday Sunny and hot, with a high near 94. West wind 9 to 11 mph. Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 69. South wind 3 to 5 mph. Monday A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. West wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Monday Night A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Tuesday A chance of showers between 8am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

76° here but it actually feels really comfortable lol Because of this, humidity down to 50%.. Quite windy as well..

Must be an onshore flow for kbuf? Forecast Max for the week is 81° there, here east of Ontario we are forecast a couple days in the mid 80s and 1 upper 80s, rest of the week in the 70s..Not as hot as they were talking a few days ago.. Those lows in the mid 60s will be brutal though lol

I had one of these bumblebees patrolling my yard today lol I've never seen one orange that I can remember..I guess they are called "orange belted bumblebees"..You learn something everyday lol Pic from the internet..

Raining 3" an hour right now..I have 1/2" liquid in like 10 minutes..

Torrential downpour currently..

Picked up 0.31" of rain overnight.. Chance for some isolated T-storms later this afternoon.. This afternoon and evening...the better forcing and moisture will start to move east, which will focus the most widespread showers from the western Southern Tier into the western Finger Lakes and areas east/southeast of Lake Ontario. If there are enough breaks in the showers and thicker clouds, enough instability may develop to support scattered thunderstorms in this area. A few of these storms may contain gusty winds and heavy downpours if sufficient destabilization occurs. There`s a small risk that any slow moving storms will cause localized flooding. Meanwhile, decreasing deep moisture and forcing coupled with developing stable lake shadows will allow for decreasing coverage of showers in the afternoon northeast of Lake Erie, including the Buffalo area. Showers and scattered thunderstorms will gradually taper off from west to east tonight...as the mid level trough will move east of the area and towards eastern NY and western New England.

Wpc QPF D 1-3

Gfs is toasty, especially SE.. Prolonged period of 90s..I'm sure we will have our fair share as well lol Source

After Friday, 500MB heights begin to build over the weekend and on into next week. Could be an isolated shower or thunderstorm inland away from the lakes but coverage looks like it will be sparse. One thing that is becoming clearer though is that the heat and humidity will ramp up further as H85 temps are forecast to approach +18C or higher by early next week. Continued to increase highs over NBM for Saturday through Monday and that trend likely will continue through much of next week. Highs on Saturday will warm to upper 80s with readings near 90F likely Sunday and beyond. Indications are there that we will be dealing with highs at least into the lower 90s much of next week while lows will be mainly in the 60s. Humidity will be increasing as well with dewpoints reaching the lower to middle 60s. No matter how you slice it, a period of summertime conditions is on the way and it will stay locked in for a while.

Wednesday starts out dry. Chances of showers and a few thunderstorms increase in the afternoon though as southerly flow and low-level moisture increase ahead of mid-upper level trough from the western Great Lakes to the central Plains. Best chances for convection will be along Lake Erie lake breeze and across Southern Tier toward Finger Lakes as the southerly winds interact with the terrain. Temperatures will head above normal with highs in the mid to upper 70s, warmest on the lake plains. Much better chance for showers and a rumble of thunder occurs Wednesday night into Thursday as trough aloft draws closer increasing low-level jet and moisture advection into the lower Great Lakes. Showers will be enhanced due to diffluence with upper jet. Maybe a brief lull on Thursday morning as initial area of showers lifts across, but expect another round of showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon with PVA from approaching shortwave and as region will be within right entrance region of upper jet. Forecast instability looks on the weaker side with MLCAPES 500 j/kg or less which should limit coverage and intensity of the thunderstorms, however if instability ends up more than forecast, an isolated stronger storm could occur as shear over 35 kts is sufficient. A lot of clouds and intervals of rain will keep temps in check, but the day will have a more humid feel with highs in the middle 70s and dewpoints rising into the lower 60s. Most of Thursday night looks quiet as initial convection exits the area. A more mild night with low temps staying in the 55-60F range.

Central AC will come in handy next week..

Latest guidance suggesting a weak short wave trough will cross the region late Monday night and early tuesday. This should result in an in crease in cloud cover, but with limited moisture will keep probabilities in the slight chance range for now. This wave will exit east by Tuesday afternoon with increasing sunshine and temperatures reaching the lower to mid 70s. Tuesday night and most of Wednesday look dry with ridging sliding across the area. By late in the day Wednesday the high wil slide to the east as mid level trough pushes into the Midwest. Southwest flow aloft will usher in more humid air. Modest height falls along with increasing moisture will result in increasing chances for showers and and a few thunderstorms especially Wednesday night. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Widespread showers and possibly a T-storm anticipated Thursday as sfc low pressure gradually tracks by to the west-northwest and then fades away into Canada. After Thursday, still plenty of uncertainty how far the cold front will make inroads through our region as stout sfc high out over the Atlantic may prevent the front from progressing east. With that said, have kept chance POPs for showers or an isolated T-storm in the forecast going through Thursday night into much of the day Friday. The best chance for precipitation should be from the Genesee Valley east into the western Finger Lakes region. After that, the forecast gets muddled as the sfc ridge out over the Atlantic will likely determine a lot of what happens over the weekend. Saturday for the most part looks dry then Atlantic moisture gets drawn up around the sfc ridge into our region. This may or may not introduce a few showers or T-storm on Sunday. Only time will tell, what does look certain is the return of the heat and humidity as H850T are forecast to approach +14C to +16C. Have nudge highs up both day with mid to upper 80s near 90F likely by Sunday.

Nice soaking mid week according to the NAM12z..

Some showers trying to make their way into W/C NY, just a few raindrops at the moment..We hit a high of 62.6° today, currently 58°..

Yeah once again the warmest air is confined to kbuf CWA..We are at 58° here.. Tomorrow the cooler weather should be confined to New England and then back to normal for Tuesday..

Gfs with plenty of showers/storm activity over the next 10 days or so..

As alluded to earlier the dry conditions from the earlier portions of the week will go by the way side as the next upper level trough crosses the Mid-West Wednesday and into the Central and Eastern Great Lakes late Wednesday through Friday. Meanwhile, at the surface, a surface low along with its frontal boundaries will also make the trek northeast from the lower Central Plains. As the low approaches the area late Wednesday night into Thursday, expect chances for either some showers or steadier rain to increase. Showers will then continue into Friday. Though this far our it is hard to tell, long term model guidance packages are trying to spit out some instability, which could make some of the showers feisty and turn into thunderstorms. Shower and thunderstorm potential will continue Friday and Saturday as the mid-level trough axis is slow to cross overhead of the area. Overall, expect a showery day Friday with a weaker chance for showers Saturday due to the exit of the shortwave trough axis. Temperatures throughout the later half of the work week and entering the weekend will continue to rebound to normal. For the work week, expect temperatures to range in the low to mid 70s across the higher terrain and upper 70s across the low-lying areas. Saturday, temperatures will warm into the mid 70s for the higher elevations to low to mid 80s for the lower elevations.

We hit almost 67° today lol Closer to the lake and farther north was warmer today with mid-upper 60s from Oswego county to kart..

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Yeah I was on a small well the last couple years in Altmar and I ran out of water the first month I lived there lol I remember one time running out of water mid cycle on the wash machine, had to go to tops and fill a shopping cart with spring water haha.. Cost me like$50 to do laundry I also had a UV light system that needed the bulb changed once a year, cost about $100 and filters $5-$10 every 3 months.. Here I'm on public water/Sewer and pay about $100 every 3 months..

Summer returns next weekend according to the GFS..

1 last chilly day to get through..